Sport Picks
Esperanca de Lagos vs Fabril do Barreiro
Portugal
Campeonato de Portugal - Group D 2022/2023 
AI Match Summary
Esperanca de Lagos play Fabril do Barreiro in the Campeonato de Portugal - Group D 2022/2023. It looks like a close match. Recently, Esperanca de Lagos averaged 0 goals scored and 0 conceded. Fabril do Barreiro averaged 0.88 goals scored and 1.5 conceded. In past meetings, Esperanca de Lagos won 2, Fabril do Barreiro won 1, and they drew 1. Their last match on Apr 8, 2023 ended 3:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.35 for Esperanca de Lagos and 0.99 for Fabril do Barreiro. This points to a Esperanca de Lagos double chance or over markets.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Fabril do Barreiro has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Esperanca de Lagos.
- Model forecasts a 90% win probability edge for Fabril do Barreiro.
- League standings and seasonal metrics in Campeonato de Portugal - Group D 2022/2023 provide steady trend data.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Esperanca de Lagos | Fabril do Barreiro |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 41 |
| Wins | 8 | 11 |
| Draws | 10 | 15 |
| Losses | 12 | 15 |
| Goals Scored | 0 | 0.88 |
| Goals Conceded | 0 | 1.5 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sokapicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Sokapicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Esperanca de Lagos scored in 63% of their last 30 games.
Fabril do Barreiro let in goals in 71% of their last 41 matches.
Games between these two average 1.25 goals.
Esperanca de Lagos went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.
Fabril do Barreiro lost 0 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Atletico CP | 26 | 15 | 7 | 4 | 43:22 | 52 |
| 2 | Lusitano GC | 26 | 15 | 6 | 5 | 35:22 | 51 |
| 3 | Juv. Evora | 26 | 13 | 7 | 6 | 37:16 | 46 |
| 4 | CD Rabo Peixe | 26 | 13 | 6 | 7 | 33:19 | 45 |
| 5 | Imortal | 26 | 9 | 12 | 5 | 31:22 | 39 |
| 6 | Fabril do Barreiro | 26 | 11 | 6 | 9 | 31:26 | 39 |
| 7 | Vasco da Gama Vidigueira | 26 | 10 | 9 | 7 | 37:33 | 39 |
| 8 | Serpa | 26 | 10 | 6 | 10 | 44:36 | 36 |
| 9 | Oriental Dragon | 26 | 10 | 6 | 10 | 35:36 | 36 |
| 10 | SC Praiense | 26 | 9 | 7 | 10 | 31:32 | 34 |
| 11 | Esperanca de Lagos | 26 | 7 | 10 | 9 | 28:38 | 31 |
| 12 | SC Angrense | 26 | 4 | 5 | 17 | 17:46 | 17 |
| 13 | Olhanense | 26 | 5 | 2 | 19 | 18:50 | 17 |
| 14 | Ferreiras | 26 | 3 | 7 | 16 | 17:39 | 16 |