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AI Match Summary
Esperanca de Lagos host Ferreiras in the Campeonato de Portugal - Group D 2022/2023. Little to choose between these two on current form. Ferreiras have shipped 1.38 goals a game lately, while Esperanca de Lagos have conceded 1.38 and scored 1.13. Past meetings favor Ferreiras slightly — 0-1-3 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Feb 12, 2023, ending 1:1. xG projections (1.25 - 1.00) back Esperanca de Lagos to edge this. Esperanca de Lagos in a double chance market carries the safer edge.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Esperanca de Lagos has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Ferreiras.
- Model forecasts a 42% win probability edge for Esperanca de Lagos.
- League standings and seasonal metrics in Campeonato de Portugal - Group D 2022/2023 provide steady trend data.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Esperanca de Lagos | Ferreiras |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 8 | 4 |
| Draws | 10 | 7 |
| Losses | 12 | 19 |
| Goals Scored | 1.13 | 0.63 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.38 | 1.38 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.13 | 0.63 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.38 | 1.38 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sokapicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Sokapicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Esperanca de Lagos scored in 63% of their last 30 games.
Ferreiras let in goals in 83% of their last 30 matches.
Games between these two average 2.00 goals.
Esperanca de Lagos went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.
Ferreiras lost 5 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Atletico CP | 26 | 15 | 7 | 4 | 43:22 | 52 |
| 2 | Lusitano GC | 26 | 15 | 6 | 5 | 35:22 | 51 |
| 3 | Juv. Evora | 26 | 13 | 7 | 6 | 37:16 | 46 |
| 4 | CD Rabo Peixe | 26 | 13 | 6 | 7 | 33:19 | 45 |
| 5 | Imortal | 26 | 9 | 12 | 5 | 31:22 | 39 |
| 6 | Fabril do Barreiro | 26 | 11 | 6 | 9 | 31:26 | 39 |
| 7 | Vasco da Gama Vidigueira | 26 | 10 | 9 | 7 | 37:33 | 39 |
| 8 | Serpa | 26 | 10 | 6 | 10 | 44:36 | 36 |
| 9 | Oriental Dragon | 26 | 10 | 6 | 10 | 35:36 | 36 |
| 10 | SC Praiense | 26 | 9 | 7 | 10 | 31:32 | 34 |
| 11 | Esperanca de Lagos | 26 | 7 | 10 | 9 | 28:38 | 31 |
| 12 | SC Angrense | 26 | 4 | 5 | 17 | 17:46 | 17 |
| 13 | Olhanense | 26 | 5 | 2 | 19 | 18:50 | 17 |
| 14 | Ferreiras | 26 | 3 | 7 | 16 | 17:39 | 16 |