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Esperanca de Lagos vs Ferreiras

Portugal Portugal

Campeonato de Portugal - Group D 2022/2023
Our Tip

Match Events

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No live events recorded yet.

AI Match Summary

Esperanca de Lagos host Ferreiras in the Campeonato de Portugal - Group D 2022/2023. Little to choose between these two on current form. Ferreiras have shipped 1.38 goals a game lately, while Esperanca de Lagos have conceded 1.38 and scored 1.13. Past meetings favor Ferreiras slightly — 0-1-3 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Feb 12, 2023, ending 1:1. xG projections (1.25 - 1.00) back Esperanca de Lagos to edge this. Esperanca de Lagos in a double chance market carries the safer edge.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
Esperanca de Lagos
20%
Draws
38%
Ferreiras
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Esperanca de Lagos

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

67% / Medium Confidence
  • Esperanca de Lagos has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Ferreiras.
  • Model forecasts a 42% win probability edge for Esperanca de Lagos.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in Campeonato de Portugal - Group D 2022/2023 provide steady trend data.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 34%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78%
Esperanca de Lagos Clean Sheet 20%
Ferreiras Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Esperanca de Lagos Ferreiras
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 8 4
Draws 10 7
Losses 12 19
Goals Scored 1.13 0.63
Goals Conceded 1.38 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 0.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.38 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 12, 2023 Campeonato de Portugal - Group D
Esperanca de Lagos vs Ferreiras
1:1
Oct 30, 2022 Campeonato de Portugal - Group D
Ferreiras vs Esperanca de Lagos
2:2
Jan 19, 2014 Campeonato de Portugal - Group H
Ferreiras vs Esperanca de Lagos
0:0
Nov 3, 2013 Campeonato de Portugal - Group H
Esperanca de Lagos vs Ferreiras
0:2

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Esperanca de Lagos 42 / 100
Ferreiras 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Esperanca de Lagos Ferreiras

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Esperanca de Lagos scored in 63% of their last 30 games.

Ferreiras let in goals in 83% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Esperanca de Lagos went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Ferreiras lost 5 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Esperanca de Lagos VS Ferreiras
1.13 Goals Scored 0.63
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.38
75% Over 1.5 63%
25% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 13%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Atletico CP26157443:2252
2Lusitano GC26156535:2251
3Juv. Evora26137637:1646
4CD Rabo Peixe26136733:1945
5Imortal26912531:2239
6Fabril do Barreiro26116931:2639
7Vasco da Gama Vidigueira26109737:3339
8Serpa261061044:3636
9Oriental Dragon261061035:3636
10SC Praiense26971031:3234
11Esperanca de Lagos26710928:3831
12SC Angrense26451717:4617
13Olhanense26521918:5017
14Ferreiras26371617:3916