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Esperanca de Lagos vs Olhanense

Portugal Portugal

Campeonato de Portugal - Group D 2022/2023
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Olhanense in this Campeonato de Portugal - Group D 2022/2023 matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Olhanense.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

32%
Esperanca de Lagos
20%
Draws
48%
Olhanense
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Olhanense

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Attack-wise there's a gap: Esperanca de Lagos at 1.03 per game, Olhanense at 0.87.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
Esperanca de Lagos Clean Sheet 20%
Olhanense Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Esperanca de Lagos Olhanense
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 8 8
Draws 10 2
Losses 12 20
Goals Scored 1.03 0.87
Goals Conceded 1.63 1.83
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 16, 2023 Campeonato de Portugal - Group D
Esperanca de Lagos vs Olhanense
0:1
Jan 8, 2023 Campeonato de Portugal - Group D
Olhanense vs Esperanca de Lagos
2:3
Mar 5, 2022 Campeonato de Portugal - Group F
Olhanense vs Esperanca de Lagos
3:3
Dec 13, 2021 Campeonato de Portugal - Group F
Esperanca de Lagos vs Olhanense
0:2
Mar 27, 2021 Campeonato de Portugal - Group H
Olhanense vs Esperanca de Lagos
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Esperanca de Lagos 32 / 100
Olhanense 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Esperanca de Lagos Olhanense

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Olhanense let in goals in 83% of their last 30 matches.

H2H data points to 3.40 goals as a typical output.

Esperanca de Lagos's goal record stands at 63% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Difficult form: Olhanense registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Esperanca de Lagos VS Olhanense
1.13 Goals Scored 0.88
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.63
75% Over 1.5 50%
25% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Esperanca de Lagos

(Home)
08 Sept
Louletano
3 : 0
Esperanca de Lagos
16 Apr
Esperanca de Lagos
0 : 1
Olhanense
08 Apr
Fabril do Barreiro
3 : 0
Esperanca de Lagos
02 Apr
Esperanca de Lagos
0 : 0
CD Rabo Peixe
19 Mar
SC Angrense
1 : 1
Esperanca de Lagos
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Olhanense

(Away)
16 Apr
Esperanca de Lagos
0 : 1
Olhanense
08 Apr
Olhanense
0 : 2
Imortal
02 Apr
SC Praiense
5 : 0
Olhanense
18 Mar
Olhanense
2 : 3
Vasco da Gama Vidigueira
12 Mar
Oriental Dragon
1 : 0
Olhanense
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Atletico CP 26 15 7 4 43:22 52
2 Lusitano GC 26 15 6 5 35:22 51
3 Juv. Evora 26 13 7 6 37:16 46
4 CD Rabo Peixe 26 13 6 7 33:19 45
5 Imortal 26 9 12 5 31:22 39
6 Fabril do Barreiro 26 11 6 9 31:26 39
7 Vasco da Gama Vidigueira 26 10 9 7 37:33 39
8 Serpa 26 10 6 10 44:36 36
9 Oriental Dragon 26 10 6 10 35:36 36
10 SC Praiense 26 9 7 10 31:32 34
11 Esperanca de Lagos 26 7 10 9 28:38 31
12 SC Angrense 26 4 5 17 17:46 17
13 Olhanense 26 5 2 19 18:50 17
14 Ferreiras 26 3 7 16 17:39 16
Promotion - Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2022/2023 (Promotion Group)