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Esperanca de Lagos vs Pinhalnovense

Portugal Portugal

Campeonato de Portugal - Group F
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Campeonato de Portugal - Group F game between Esperanca de Lagos and Pinhalnovense finished 4-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Esperanca de Lagos.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

9%
Esperanca de Lagos
11%
Draws
80%
Pinhalnovense
Draw rate projection: 11% Favored: Pinhalnovense

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

93% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Esperanca de Lagos come out ahead of Pinhalnovense on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Pinhalnovense's way, sitting at 80%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.400000000000006%
Esperanca de Lagos Clean Sheet 19%
Pinhalnovense Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Esperanca de Lagos Pinhalnovense
Matches Played 34 22
Wins 12 10
Draws 10 4
Losses 12 8
Goals Scored 1.25 0
Goals Conceded 1.5 0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 29, 2022 Campeonato de Portugal - Group F
Pinhalnovense vs Esperanca de Lagos
0:0
Oct 31, 2021 Campeonato de Portugal - Group F
Esperanca de Lagos vs Pinhalnovense
4:2
Mar 14, 2021 Campeonato de Portugal - Group H
Esperanca de Lagos vs Pinhalnovense
2:1
Dec 20, 2020 Campeonato de Portugal - Group H
Pinhalnovense vs Esperanca de Lagos
1:0
Feb 23, 2020 Campeonato de Portugal - Group D
Pinhalnovense vs Esperanca de Lagos
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Esperanca de Lagos 12 / 100
Pinhalnovense 86 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Esperanca de Lagos Pinhalnovense

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick PIN Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Esperanca de Lagos's goal record stands at 68% scoring rate across 34 recent games.

Pinhalnovense's defensive record shows goals conceded in 73% of 22 matches.

H2H data points to 2.60 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Esperanca de Lagos remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Esperanca de Lagos VS -
1.25 Goals Scored 0
1.5 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Esperanca de Lagos

(Home)
08 Sept
Louletano
3 : 0
Esperanca de Lagos
16 Apr
Esperanca de Lagos
0 : 1
Olhanense
08 Apr
Fabril do Barreiro
3 : 0
Esperanca de Lagos
02 Apr
Esperanca de Lagos
0 : 0
CD Rabo Peixe
19 Mar
SC Angrense
1 : 1
Esperanca de Lagos
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Pinhalnovense

(Away)
12 Dec
Juv. Evora
0 : 0
Pinhalnovense
05 Dec
Pinhalnovense
4 : 1
Serpa
28 Nov
Louletano
2 : 2
Pinhalnovense
07 Nov
Pinhalnovense
0 : 0
FC Barreirense
31 Oct
Esperanca de Lagos
4 : 2
Pinhalnovense
Page 1 of 5

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Olhanense16106032:1536
2Moncarapachense1696131:1233
3Louletano1695237:1532
4Juv. Evora1666426:1224
5Esperanca de Lagos1654720:2519
6Serpa1644818:3216
7Imortal162689:2612
8Uniao Montemor16331012:2812
9FC Barreirense1616910:309
10Pinhalnovense00000:00
Promotion - Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2021/2022 (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2021/2022 (Relegation Group)