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Esperanca vs UE Santa Coloma

Andorra Andorra

Primera Divisió
Sun, May 10, 2026
3 - 0
09:00 AM
Our Tip

Match Events

20'
Lopez M.
24' Event
Gomez T.
35'
Amaral L.

AI Match Summary

Esperanca host UE Santa Coloma in the Primera Divisió. Recent head-to-head results give a strong hint here. UE Santa Coloma have shipped 0.63 goals a game lately, while Esperanca have conceded 1.63 and scored 1.25. Head-to-head, Esperanca have won 1 to UE Santa Coloma's 4, with 0 draws. They last met on May 10, 2026, ending 3:0. xG projections (0.94 - 1.31) back UE Santa Coloma to edge this. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 3-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Esperanca
6%
Draws
4%
UE Santa Coloma
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Esperanca

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and UE Santa Coloma come out ahead of Esperanca on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Esperanca's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Primera Divisió form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors UE Santa Coloma here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 64.2%
Esperanca Clean Sheet 18%
UE Santa Coloma Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Esperanca UE Santa Coloma
Matches Played 27 32
Wins 5 21
Draws 5 6
Losses 17 5
Goals Scored 1.25 1
Goals Conceded 1.63 0.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.63 0.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 10, 2026 Primera Divisió
Esperanca vs UE Santa Coloma
3:0
Dec 14, 2025 Primera Divisió
UE Santa Coloma vs Esperanca
7:0
Nov 26, 2025 Primera Divisió
Esperanca vs UE Santa Coloma
0:4
May 18, 2025 Primera Divisió
Esperanca vs UE Santa Coloma
0:4
Dec 15, 2024 Primera Divisió
UE Santa Coloma vs Esperanca
4:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Esperanca Compare

Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

UE Santa Coloma Compare

Top Goalscorer Gomez T.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Garcia C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Esperanca 85 / 100
UE Santa Coloma 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Esperanca UE Santa Coloma

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ESP Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 3:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 4.40 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Esperanca stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Esperanca found the back of the net in 48% of recent matches (27 games).

Defensive concern: UE Santa Coloma conceded in 44% of 32 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Esperanca VS UE Santa Coloma
1.25 Goals Scored 1
1.63 Goals Conceded 0.63
75% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Esperanca

(Home)
27 May
Esperanca
2 : 0
Sporting Escaldes
23 May
Sporting Escaldes
1 : 3
Esperanca
16 May
Ordino
2 : 2
Esperanca
10 May
Esperanca
3 : 0
UE Santa Coloma
19 Apr
FC Santa Coloma
4 : 0
Esperanca
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UE Santa Coloma

(Away)
10 May
Esperanca
3 : 0
UE Santa Coloma
30 Apr
FC Santa Coloma
3 : 0
UE Santa Coloma
25 Apr
UE Santa Coloma
0 : 0
FC Santa Coloma
18 Apr
Penya
0 : 2
UE Santa Coloma
12 Apr
UE Santa Coloma
1 : 1
Inter Escaldes
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Inter Escaldes24173447:2454
2UE Santa Coloma24146442:1648
3FC Rangers24153646:2248
4FC Santa Coloma24135645:2044
5Atletic Escaldes241041031:2634
6Penya24731419:4124
7Ordino24641427:4222
8Carroi24451515:5517
9Esperanca24351618:4414
10Pas de la Casa00000:00
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Relegation - Primera Divisió (Relegation)