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Esperanca vs Carroi - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Andorra Andorra

Primera Divisió
Sat, Nov 21, 2026
VS
07:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Esperanca host Carroi in the Primera Divisió. Recent form is the clearest guide to this one. Esperanca have averaged 1.11 scored and 1.89 conceded recently, against Carroi's 0.59 scored and 2.22 conceded. Past meetings favor Esperanca slightly — 3-1-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Mar 8, 2026, ending 4:1. xG projections (2.06 - 0.69) back Esperanca to edge this. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

58%
Esperanca
30%
Draws
12%
Carroi
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Esperanca

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Esperanca have won more games recently than Carroi.
  • Model gives Esperanca a 58% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.4%
Esperanca Clean Sheet 20%
Carroi Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Esperanca Carroi
Matches Played 27 27
Wins 6 4
Draws 5 6
Losses 16 17
Goals Scored 1.11 0.59
Goals Conceded 1.89 2.22
Expected Goals (xG) 2.06 0.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 8, 2026 Primera Divisió
Esperanca vs Carroi
4:1
Feb 15, 2026 Primera Divisió
Esperanca vs Carroi
0:0
Nov 16, 2025 Primera Divisió
Carroi vs Esperanca
2:1
Apr 27, 2024 Primera Divisió
Esperanca vs Carroi
2:0
Jan 20, 2024 Primera Divisió
Carroi vs Esperanca
0:4

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Esperanca 85 / 100
Carroi 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Esperanca Carroi

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Esperanca Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Carroi conceded in 81% of 27 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.80 goals when they meet.

Esperanca has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Carroi lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Esperanca VS Carroi
2.13 Goals Scored 0.5
0.88 Goals Conceded 2
88% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Esperanca

(Home)
18 Oct
Esperanca
1 : 2
FC Santa Coloma
11 Oct
Atletic Escaldes
1 : 1
Esperanca
20 Sept
Esperanca
4 : 0
Ordino
13 Sept
FC Rangers
2 : 1
Esperanca
06 Sept
Esperanca
2 : 2
Inter Escaldes
Page 1 of 6

Carroi

(Away)
18 Oct
Carroi
0 : 1
Sporting Escaldes
11 Oct
FC Rangers
3 : 0
Carroi
19 Sept
Carroi
2 : 2
Penya
13 Sept
Inter Escaldes
3 : 0
Carroi
05 Sept
Carroi
0 : 3
FC Santa Coloma
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 FC Santa Coloma 5 5 0 0 19:2 15
2 Inter Escaldes 5 4 1 0 16:4 13
3 Ordino 5 3 0 2 6:11 9
4 Atletic Escaldes 5 2 2 1 11:7 8
5 FC Rangers 5 2 1 2 6:6 7
6 Esperanca 5 1 2 2 9:7 5
7 Penya 5 1 2 2 5:10 5
8 Casa de Portugal 5 1 1 3 6:12 4
9 Sporting Escaldes 5 1 0 4 4:13 3
10 Carroi 5 0 1 4 2:12 1
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Primera Divisió (Relegation)