Sport Picks

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Esperanca vs Sporting Escaldes

Andorra Andorra

Primera Divisió 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

30'
Neves T.
31'
Arreola A.
42' Event
Balastegui E.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 2-0, with Esperanca advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Esperanca
15%
Draws
0%
Sporting Escaldes
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Esperanca

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Esperanca come out ahead of Sporting Escaldes on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Esperanca's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Esperanca have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Esperanca, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.8%
Esperanca Clean Sheet 20%
Sporting Escaldes Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Esperanca Sporting Escaldes
Matches Played 26 29
Wins 5 2
Draws 5 1
Losses 16 26
Goals Scored 0.85 0.69
Goals Conceded 1.85 4.66
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 0.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 27, 2026 Primera Divisió
Esperanca vs Sporting Escaldes
2:0
May 23, 2026 Primera Divisió
Sporting Escaldes vs Esperanca
1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Esperanca Compare

Top Goalscorer Balastegui E.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Amaral L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.84

Sporting Escaldes Compare

Avg xG / game 0.74
Avg xA / game 0.45

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Esperanca 85 / 100
Sporting Escaldes 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Esperanca Sporting Escaldes

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Esperanca Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sporting Escaldes's defensive record shows goals conceded in 93% of 29 matches.

Away concern: Sporting Escaldes has suffered 5 losses in 5 recent matches.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Esperanca remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Esperanca VS Sporting Escaldes
0.88 Goals Scored 0.5
1.13 Goals Conceded 2.5
63% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Esperanca

(Home)
27 May
Esperanca
2 : 0
Sporting Escaldes
23 May
Sporting Escaldes
1 : 3
Esperanca
16 May
Ordino
2 : 2
Esperanca
10 May
Esperanca
3 : 0
UE Santa Coloma
19 Apr
FC Santa Coloma
4 : 0
Esperanca
Page 1 of 6

Sporting Escaldes

(Away)
27 May
Esperanca
2 : 0
Sporting Escaldes
23 May
Sporting Escaldes
1 : 3
Esperanca
11 Jan
FC Santa Coloma
5 : 1
Sporting Escaldes
09 Mar
Sant Julia
13 : 0
Sporting Escaldes
23 Feb
Principat
2 : 0
Sporting Escaldes
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Final
Esperanca 5
Sporting Escaldes 1