Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Esperance Tunis vs AS Marsa

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

AS Marsa in this Club Friendly matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored AS Marsa.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

48%
Esperance Tunis
15%
Draws
37%
AS Marsa
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Esperance Tunis

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Esperance Tunis have won more games recently than AS Marsa.
  • Win probability leans Esperance Tunis's way, sitting at 42%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Esperance Tunis have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 63%
Esperance Tunis Clean Sheet 20%
AS Marsa Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Esperance Tunis AS Marsa
Matches Played 34 30
Wins 22 12
Draws 6 3
Losses 6 15
Goals Scored 1.65 1.07
Goals Conceded 0.65 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 6, 2026 Ligue Professionnelle 1
Esperance Tunis vs AS Marsa
2:1
Aug 8, 2026 Club Friendly
Esperance Tunis vs AS Marsa
1:2
Mar 7, 2026 Ligue Professionnelle 1
Esperance Tunis vs AS Marsa
1:0
Oct 1, 2025 Ligue Professionnelle 1
AS Marsa vs Esperance Tunis
0:3
Dec 5, 2023 Ligue Professionnelle 1
AS Marsa vs Esperance Tunis
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Esperance Tunis 42 / 100
AS Marsa 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Esperance Tunis AS Marsa

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Esperance Tunis scored in 85% of their last 34 outings.

AS Marsa's defensive record shows goals conceded in 67% of 30 matches.

H2H data points to 2.20 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Esperance Tunis remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Esperance Tunis VS AS Marsa
1.5 Goals Scored 1
0.5 Goals Conceded 1.25
38% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Esperance Tunis

(Home)
13 Sept
Hammam-Lif
0 : 1
Esperance Tunis
06 Sept
Esperance Tunis
2 : 1
AS Marsa
30 Aug
Jeunesse Sportive
3 : 1
Esperance Tunis
23 Aug
Esperance Tunis
3 : 2
Etoile Sahel
08 Aug
Esperance Tunis
1 : 2
AS Marsa
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AS Marsa

(Away)
12 Sept
AS Marsa
1 : 0
Etoile Sahel
06 Sept
Esperance Tunis
2 : 1
AS Marsa
29 Aug
AS Marsa
0 : 0
PS Sakiet Eddaier
23 Aug
CA Bizertin
1 : 0
AS Marsa
08 Aug
Esperance Tunis
1 : 2
AS Marsa
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