Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Esperance Tunis vs Simba

Africa Africa

CAF Champions League 2025/2026 Stade Olympique Hammadi Agrebi, Radès
Our Tip

Match Events

21' Event
Diarra J.
Assist: Ben Hamida M.
46'
Sub
Sowah J. In: Gueye L.
Out: Sowah J.
46'
Sub
Abraham M. In: Chama C.
Out: Abraham M.

AI Match Summary

Esperance Tunis in this CAF Champions League 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Esperance Tunis.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Esperance Tunis
30%
Draws
31%
Simba
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Esperance Tunis

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Simba have won more games recently than Esperance Tunis.
  • Win probability leans Esperance Tunis's way, sitting at 36%.
  • Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 15%
Over 4.5 Goals 7%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 63.4%
Esperance Tunis Clean Sheet 20%
Simba Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Esperance Tunis Simba
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 16 21
Draws 7 7
Losses 5 1
Goals Scored 1.43 1.86
Goals Conceded 0.61 0.41
Expected Goals (xG) 0.48 1.21
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 1, 2026 CAF Champions League
Simba vs Esperance Tunis
2:2
Jan 24, 2026 CAF Champions League
Esperance Tunis vs Simba
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Esperance Tunis Compare

Top Goalscorer Diarra J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.37
Avg xA / game 0.24

Simba Compare

Avg xG / game 1.1
Avg xA / game 0.67

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Esperance Tunis 36 / 100
Simba 35 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Esperance Tunis Simba

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Esperance Tunis's goal record stands at 79% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.50 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Esperance Tunis stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Defensive concern: Simba conceded in 34% of 29 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Esperance Tunis VS Simba
0.83 Goals Scored 1.75
0.67 Goals Conceded 0.13
33% Over 1.5 50%
33% Over 2.5 38%
17% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Esperance Tunis

(Home)
08 Aug
Esperance Tunis
1 : 2
AS Marsa
06 Aug
Esperance Tunis
1 : 0
San Pedro
04 Aug
Esperance Tunis
2 : 2
Al Hazem Rass
31 May
Zarzis
0 : 1
Esperance Tunis
24 May
Jeunesse Sportive
0 : 1
Esperance Tunis
Page 1 of 6

Simba

(Away)
16 Aug
Kagera Sugar
0 : 2
Simba
12 Aug
Simba
0 : 1
Young Africans
31 Jul
Singida Black Stars
1 : 2
Simba
28 Jul
Jamus
0 : 0
Simba
25 Jul
Simba
0 : 0
Mogadishu City
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Pyramids 6 5 1 0 14:2 16
2 Berkane 6 3 1 2 8:6 10
3 Power Dynamos 6 2 1 3 4:7 7
4 Rivers United 6 0 1 5 2:13 1
Promotion - CAF Champions League 2025/2026 (Play Offs: 1/2-finals)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al Ahly 6 2 4 0 8:3 10
2 FAR Rabat 6 2 3 1 3:2 9
3 Young Africans 6 2 2 2 5:4 8
4 Kabylie 6 0 3 3 1:8 3
Promotion - CAF Champions League 2025/2026 (Play Offs: 1/2-finals)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al-Hilal Omdurman 6 3 2 1 9:7 11
2 Mamelodi Sundowns 6 2 3 1 9:6 9
3 MC Alger 6 2 1 3 5:6 7
4 St Eloi Lupopo 6 1 2 3 4:8 5
Promotion - CAF Champions League 2025/2026 (Play Offs: 1/2-finals)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Stade Malien 6 3 2 1 5:2 11
2 Esperance Tunis 6 2 3 1 6:4 9
3 Petro Atletico 6 1 3 2 3:6 6
4 Simba 6 1 2 3 5:7 5
Promotion - CAF Champions League 2025/2026 (Play Offs: 1/2-finals)