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Espoir Rogba vs AS Agareb Prediction & H2H Stats

Tunisia Tunisia

Ligue 2 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

48' Event
Kanzari S.
(Penalty)
61' Event
Belhaj Letaief A.

AI Match Summary

The Ligue 2 2024/2025 game between Espoir Rogba and AS Agareb finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Espoir Rogba.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Espoir Rogba
20%
Draws
80%
AS Agareb
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: AS Agareb

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

80% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and AS Agareb come out ahead of Espoir Rogba on wins alone.
  • Model gives AS Agareb a 80% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Espoir Rogba Clean Sheet 18%
AS Agareb Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Espoir Rogba AS Agareb
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 3 10
Draws 6 7
Losses 21 14
Goals Scored 0.73 1.06
Goals Conceded 2.07 1.42
Expected Goals (xG) 1.48 1.36
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 9, 2025 Ligue 2
Espoir Rogba vs AS Agareb
2:0
Oct 20, 2024 Ligue 2
AS Agareb vs Espoir Rogba
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Espoir Rogba Compare

Top Goalscorer Belhaj Letaief A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.74

AS Agareb Compare

Avg xG / game 1.24
Avg xA / game 0.76

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Espoir Rogba 10 / 100
AS Agareb 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Espoir Rogba AS Agareb

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick AS Agareb Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

AS Agareb has conceded goals in 74% of their last 31 outings.

H2H data points to 2.50 goals as a typical output.

Attacking prowess: Espoir Rogba scored in 50% of their last 30 outings.

AS Agareb lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS AS Agareb
0 Goals Scored 1.63
0 Goals Conceded 1.75
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 88%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Espoir Rogba

(Home)
23 May
Espoir Rogba
2 : 3
Sidi Bouzid
16 May
Espoir Rogba
2 : 7
Kasserine
10 May
JS Kairouan
3 : 1
Espoir Rogba
05 May
Espoir Rogba
0 : 1
Sfax Railways
26 Apr
Redeyef
3 : 0
Espoir Rogba
Page 1 of 6

AS Agareb

(Away)
26 Sept
Stade Soussien
2 : 2
AS Agareb
11 May
Sfax Railways
2 : 1
AS Agareb
01 May
AS Agareb
1 : 0
Msaken
27 Apr
Bousalem
1 : 1
AS Agareb
21 Apr
AS Agareb
1 : 0
BS Bouhajla
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 AS Marsa 26 15 8 3 40:17 53
2 Megrine 26 15 7 4 49:23 52
3 Jendouba Sport 26 14 7 5 38:19 49
4 Hamam-Sousse 26 8 12 6 36:28 36
5 Korba 26 9 9 8 22:28 36
6 Hammam-Lif 26 8 10 8 25:26 34
7 Msaken 26 7 12 7 18:17 33
8 Ariana 26 10 3 13 33:33 33
9 Kalaa 26 8 7 11 30:34 31
10 EM Mahdia 26 9 4 13 26:37 31
11 Moknine 26 7 9 10 27:30 30
12 Menzel Bourguiba 26 7 9 10 18:27 30
13 Oued Ellil 26 6 9 11 23:32 27
14 Rades 26 2 8 16 16:50 14
Promotion - Ligue Professionnelle 1 2025/2026 (Main)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 JS Kairouan 26 15 9 2 30:11 54
2 Kasserine 26 16 5 5 36:17 53
3 Kerkennah 26 12 8 6 36:21 44
4 Sfax Railways 26 12 8 6 35:22 44
5 PS Sakiet Eddaier 26 13 5 8 32:23 44
6 BS Bouhajla 26 9 6 11 21:22 33
7 Redeyef 26 10 3 13 23:25 33
8 Djelma 26 9 5 12 26:26 32
9 Sidi Bouzid 26 8 8 10 27:28 32
10 Chebba 26 9 5 12 24:29 32
11 Stade Gabesien 26 8 6 12 13:23 30
12 AS Agareb 26 7 9 10 23:35 30
13 ES Jerba 26 6 8 12 15:24 26
14 Espoir Rogba 26 3 5 18 19:54 13
Promotion - Ligue Professionnelle 1 2025/2026 (Main)