Sport Picks

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Espoir Rogba vs Sidi Bouzid

Tunisia Tunisia

Ligue 2 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

14' Event
Bouchniba A.
24' Event
Bouchniba A.
27' Event
Hosni M.

AI Match Summary

Sidi Bouzid in this Ligue 2 2024/2025 matchup, with the score ending 2-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Sidi Bouzid.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Espoir Rogba
15%
Draws
85%
Sidi Bouzid
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Sidi Bouzid

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Sidi Bouzid lately — more wins on the board than Espoir Rogba.
  • Espoir Rogba are the model's pick here, at 42%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Espoir Rogba Clean Sheet 20%
Sidi Bouzid Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Espoir Rogba Sidi Bouzid
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 3 5
Draws 6 6
Losses 21 20
Goals Scored 0.73 0.84
Goals Conceded 2.07 2.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.48 0.80
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 23, 2025 Ligue 2
Espoir Rogba vs Sidi Bouzid
2:3
Jan 5, 2025 Ligue 2
Sidi Bouzid vs Espoir Rogba
3:3
Mar 3, 2024 Ligue 2
Espoir Rogba vs Sidi Bouzid
1:1
Oct 29, 2023 Ligue 2
Sidi Bouzid vs Espoir Rogba
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Espoir Rogba Compare

Top Goalscorer Bouchniba A.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.74

Sidi Bouzid Compare

Top Goalscorer Hosni M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Bargougui L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.73
Avg xA / game 0.44

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Espoir Rogba 42 / 100
Sidi Bouzid 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Espoir Rogba Sidi Bouzid

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sidi Bouzid let in goals in 81% of their last 31 matches.

H2H data points to 3.75 goals as a typical output.

Sidi Bouzid lost 5 of their last 5 games.

Espoir Rogba's goal record stands at 50% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Sidi Bouzid
0 Goals Scored 0.5
0 Goals Conceded 1.75
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Espoir Rogba

(Home)
23 May
Espoir Rogba
2 : 3
Sidi Bouzid
16 May
Espoir Rogba
2 : 7
Kasserine
10 May
JS Kairouan
3 : 1
Espoir Rogba
05 May
Espoir Rogba
0 : 1
Sfax Railways
26 Apr
Redeyef
3 : 0
Espoir Rogba
Page 1 of 6

Sidi Bouzid

(Away)
12 May
Gafsa
5 : 2
Sidi Bouzid
02 May
Sidi Bouzid
0 : 2
Bouchamma
28 Apr
Sidi Bouzid
1 : 5
Korba
19 Apr
Ariana
3 : 0
Sidi Bouzid
11 Apr
Sidi Bouzid
1 : 3
Jendouba Sport
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 AS Marsa 26 15 8 3 40:17 53
2 Megrine 26 15 7 4 49:23 52
3 Jendouba Sport 26 14 7 5 38:19 49
4 Hamam-Sousse 26 8 12 6 36:28 36
5 Korba 26 9 9 8 22:28 36
6 Hammam-Lif 26 8 10 8 25:26 34
7 Msaken 26 7 12 7 18:17 33
8 Ariana 26 10 3 13 33:33 33
9 Kalaa 26 8 7 11 30:34 31
10 EM Mahdia 26 9 4 13 26:37 31
11 Moknine 26 7 9 10 27:30 30
12 Menzel Bourguiba 26 7 9 10 18:27 30
13 Oued Ellil 26 6 9 11 23:32 27
14 Rades 26 2 8 16 16:50 14
Promotion - Ligue Professionnelle 1 2025/2026 (Main)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 JS Kairouan 26 15 9 2 30:11 54
2 Kasserine 26 16 5 5 36:17 53
3 Kerkennah 26 12 8 6 36:21 44
4 Sfax Railways 26 12 8 6 35:22 44
5 PS Sakiet Eddaier 26 13 5 8 32:23 44
6 BS Bouhajla 26 9 6 11 21:22 33
7 Redeyef 26 10 3 13 23:25 33
8 Djelma 26 9 5 12 26:26 32
9 Sidi Bouzid 26 8 8 10 27:28 32
10 Chebba 26 9 5 12 24:29 32
11 Stade Gabesien 26 8 6 12 13:23 30
12 AS Agareb 26 7 9 10 23:35 30
13 ES Jerba 26 6 8 12 15:24 26
14 Espoir Rogba 26 3 5 18 19:54 13
Promotion - Ligue Professionnelle 1 2025/2026 (Main)