Sport Picks
Esporles vs El Espinar Sant Rafel
Spain
Tercera Division - Group 11 2020/2021 
AI Match Summary
Esporles play El Espinar Sant Rafel in the Tercera Division - Group 11 2020/2021. It looks like a close match. Recently, Esporles averaged 0.7 goals scored and 2.47 conceded. El Espinar Sant Rafel averaged 1 goals scored and 1.69 conceded. In past meetings, Esporles won 0, El Espinar Sant Rafel won 2, and they drew 3. Their last match on Apr 11, 2021 ended 1:3. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.10 for Esporles and 1.30 for El Espinar Sant Rafel. This points to a El Espinar Sant Rafel double chance or over markets.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Esporles picked up more points recently compared to El Espinar Sant Rafel.
- Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.10 vs 1.30 xG).
- Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Esporles | El Espinar Sant Rafel |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 32 |
| Wins | 1 | 7 |
| Draws | 6 | 7 |
| Losses | 23 | 18 |
| Goals Scored | 0.7 | 1 |
| Goals Conceded | 2.47 | 1.69 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sokapicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Value Bet Detector (+EV)
Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds
Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations
Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries
Sokapicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Esporles scored in 50% of their last 30 games.
El Espinar Sant Rafel let in goals in 75% of their last 32 matches.
Games between these two average 2.60 goals.
Esporles went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.
El Espinar Sant Rafel lost 2 of their last 5 games.
Interactive Team Comparison Slider
Side-by-side comparison of team metrics
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | SD Ibiza | 20 | 13 | 5 | 2 | 38:11 | 44 |
| 2 | Andratx | 20 | 14 | 2 | 4 | 35:17 | 44 |
| 3 | Constancia | 20 | 10 | 5 | 5 | 24:14 | 35 |
| 4 | Manacor | 20 | 9 | 7 | 4 | 26:20 | 34 |
| 5 | Portmany | 20 | 9 | 3 | 8 | 29:26 | 30 |
| 6 | Collerense | 20 | 8 | 5 | 7 | 28:26 | 29 |
| 7 | Soller | 20 | 6 | 5 | 9 | 21:36 | 23 |
| 8 | Cardassar | 20 | 5 | 7 | 8 | 20:28 | 22 |
| 9 | Felanitx | 20 | 5 | 4 | 11 | 29:32 | 19 |
| 10 | Ferriolense | 20 | 3 | 4 | 13 | 14:32 | 13 |
| 11 | Genova | 20 | 2 | 5 | 13 | 19:41 | 11 |
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Platges de Calvia | 20 | 13 | 6 | 1 | 31:13 | 45 |
| 2 | PE Sant Jordi | 20 | 12 | 5 | 3 | 33:17 | 41 |
| 3 | Formentera | 20 | 12 | 3 | 5 | 36:20 | 39 |
| 4 | Mallorca B | 20 | 11 | 5 | 4 | 34:10 | 38 |
| 5 | Santanyi | 20 | 11 | 2 | 7 | 23:12 | 35 |
| 6 | El Espinar Sant Rafel | 20 | 5 | 7 | 8 | 25:24 | 22 |
| 7 | Llosetense | 20 | 6 | 4 | 10 | 17:28 | 22 |
| 8 | Alcudia | 20 | 5 | 6 | 9 | 17:32 | 21 |
| 9 | Santa Catalina Atletico | 20 | 4 | 5 | 11 | 12:30 | 17 |
| 10 | Binissalem | 20 | 2 | 9 | 9 | 17:24 | 15 |
| 11 | Esporles | 20 | 1 | 4 | 15 | 15:50 | 7 |