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Esporles vs Platges de Calvia

Spain Spain

Tercera Division - Group 11 2020/2021
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Esporles play Platges de Calvia in the Tercera Division - Group 11 2020/2021. Platges de Calvia are favorites here. Recently, Esporles averaged 0.7 goals scored and 2.47 conceded. Platges de Calvia averaged 1.49 goals scored and 1.08 conceded. In past meetings, Esporles won 0, Platges de Calvia won 2, and they drew 3. Their last match on Feb 20, 2021 ended 0:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.29 for Esporles and 1.05 for Platges de Calvia. This points to a Platges de Calvia double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

11%
Esporles
31%
Draws
58%
Platges de Calvia
Draw rate projection: 31% Favored: Platges de Calvia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

92% / Very High Confidence
  • Esporles picked up more points recently compared to Platges de Calvia.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.29 vs 1.05 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 74%
Over 2.5 Goals 47%
Over 3.5 Goals 28%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 40%
Esporles Clean Sheet 22%
Platges de Calvia Clean Sheet 11%
First Half Goal 67%
Second Half Goal 70%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Esporles Platges de Calvia
Matches Played 30 37
Wins 1 16
Draws 6 6
Losses 23 15
Goals Scored 0.7 1.49
Goals Conceded 2.47 1.08

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 20, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Esporles vs Platges de Calvia
0:2
Nov 14, 2020 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Platges de Calvia vs Esporles
1:1
Mar 22, 2020 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Platges de Calvia vs Esporles
0:0
Oct 25, 2019 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Esporles vs Platges de Calvia
0:1
Mar 9, 2019 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Platges de Calvia vs Esporles
0:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Esporles 14 / 100
Platges de Calvia 54 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Esporles Platges de Calvia

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Platges de Calvia Win (2)
Secondary Pick Platges de Calvia & Under 3.5
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +266.6%
33.33
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +14.7%
2.44
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Esporles attacking → ← attacking Platges de Calvia

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Esporles scored in 50% of their last 30 games.

Platges de Calvia let in goals in 65% of their last 37 matches.

Games between these two average 1.00 goals.

Esporles went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Platges de Calvia lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

9 Points in last 5 54
0.00 Goals expected (xG) 1.00
0.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.38

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1SD Ibiza20135238:1144
2Andratx20142435:1744
3Constancia20105524:1435
4Manacor2097426:2034
5Portmany2093829:2630
6Collerense2085728:2629
7Soller2065921:3623
8Cardassar2057820:2822
9Felanitx20541129:3219
10Ferriolense20341314:3213
11Genova20251319:4111
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Platges de Calvia20136131:1345
2PE Sant Jordi20125333:1741
3Formentera20123536:2039
4Mallorca B20115434:1038
5Santanyi20112723:1235
6El Espinar Sant Rafel2057825:2422
7Llosetense20641017:2822
8Alcudia2056917:3221
9Santa Catalina Atletico20451112:3017
10Binissalem2029917:2415
11Esporles20141515:507