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Esporles vs Santa Catalina Atletico

Spain Spain

Tercera Division - Group 11 2020/2021
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Esporles in this Tercera Division - Group 11 2020/2021 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Esporles.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

13%
Esporles
17%
Draws
70%
Santa Catalina Atletico
Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: Santa Catalina Atletico

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

88% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Santa Catalina Atletico lately — more wins on the board than Esporles.
  • Win probability leans Santa Catalina Atletico's way, sitting at 70%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.400000000000006%
Esporles Clean Sheet 11%
Santa Catalina Atletico Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Esporles Santa Catalina Atletico
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 1 6
Draws 6 7
Losses 23 17
Goals Scored 0.75 1.25
Goals Conceded 2.38 2.13
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.38 2.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 23, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Esporles vs Santa Catalina Atletico
2:1
Oct 24, 2020 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Santa Catalina Atletico vs Esporles
2:0
Mar 28, 2020 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Esporles vs Santa Catalina Atletico
0:0
Nov 1, 2019 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Santa Catalina Atletico vs Esporles
1:1
Feb 2, 2019 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Esporles vs Santa Catalina Atletico
1:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Esporles 14 / 100
Santa Catalina Atletico 77 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Esporles Santa Catalina Atletico

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SAN Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Santa Catalina Atletico has conceded goals in 83% of their last 30 outings.

These sides typically produce 1.80 goals when they meet.

Santa Catalina Atletico lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Attacking prowess: Esporles scored in 50% of their last 30 outings.

Scoring Trends

Esporles VS Santa Catalina Atletico
0.75 Goals Scored 1.25
2.38 Goals Conceded 2.13
88% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1SD Ibiza20135238:1144
2Andratx20142435:1744
3Constancia20105524:1435
4Manacor2097426:2034
5Portmany2093829:2630
6Collerense2085728:2629
7Soller2065921:3623
8Cardassar2057820:2822
9Felanitx20541129:3219
10Ferriolense20341314:3213
11Genova20251319:4111
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Platges de Calvia20136131:1345
2PE Sant Jordi20125333:1741
3Formentera20123536:2039
4Mallorca B20115434:1038
5Santanyi20112723:1235
6El Espinar Sant Rafel2057825:2422
7Llosetense20641017:2822
8Alcudia2056917:3221
9Santa Catalina Atletico20451112:3017
10Binissalem2029917:2415
11Esporles20141515:507