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Esporte Clube Taveiropolis vs Bataguassu

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Sul-Matogrossense 2 2025
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AI Match Summary

The Sul-Matogrossense 2 2025 game between Esporte Clube Taveiropolis and Bataguassu finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Bataguassu.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

22%
Esporte Clube Taveiropolis
28%
Draws
50%
Bataguassu
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Bataguassu

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • Bataguassu carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Bataguassu's way, sitting at 50%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.4%
Esporte Clube Taveiropolis Clean Sheet 20%
Bataguassu Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Esporte Clube Taveiropolis Bataguassu
Matches Played 14 25
Wins 4 12
Draws 0 6
Losses 10 7
Goals Scored 0.8 1.63
Goals Conceded 0.6 1.75
Expected Goals (xG) 0.80 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.60 1.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 1, 2025 Sul-Matogrossense 2
Bataguassu vs Esporte Clube Taveiropolis
7:1
Sep 27, 2025 Sul-Matogrossense 2
Esporte Clube Taveiropolis vs Bataguassu
1:2

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Esporte Clube Taveiropolis 24 / 100
Bataguassu 47 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Esporte Clube Taveiropolis Bataguassu

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick BAT Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 5.50 goals when they meet.

Esporte Clube Taveiropolis's goal record stands at 71% scoring rate across 14 recent games.

Defensive concern: Bataguassu conceded in 76% of 25 recent games.

Difficult form: Bataguassu registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Esporte Clube Taveiropolis VS Bataguassu
0.8 Goals Scored 1.63
0.6 Goals Conceded 1.75
40% Over 1.5 100%
20% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Bataguassu1072127:923
2Clube de Regatas Aquidauana1072123:723
3Maracaju1044212:1316
4Comercial MS1024412:1710
5Esporte Clube Taveiropolis1020811:256
6Sao Gabriel MS101276:205