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Esporte Limoeiro vs Itarema

Brazil Brazil

Cearense 3 2024
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Match Events

36' Event
Dalvan
81' Event
Erivelton
90'
Jadson

AI Match Summary

The Cearense 3 2024 game between Esporte Limoeiro and Itarema finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Esporte Limoeiro.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Esporte Limoeiro
15%
Draws
0%
Itarema
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Esporte Limoeiro

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Esporte Limoeiro come out ahead of Itarema on wins alone.
  • Esporte Limoeiro are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 62.2%
Esporte Limoeiro Clean Sheet 20%
Itarema Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Esporte Limoeiro Itarema
Matches Played 22 6
Wins 7 0
Draws 5 0
Losses 10 6
Goals Scored 0.82 0.17
Goals Conceded 0.91 2.5
Expected Goals (xG) 2.19 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 30, 2024 Cearense 3
Esporte Limoeiro vs Itarema
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Esporte Limoeiro Compare

Top Goalscorer Dalvan
1 Goals
Assists Leader Erivelton
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.68
Avg xA / game 1.09

Itarema Compare

Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Esporte Limoeiro 85 / 100
Itarema 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Esporte Limoeiro Itarema

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Esporte Limoeiro Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Itarema conceded in 100% of 6 recent games.

Itarema's recent record shows 5 losses from the last 5 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Esporte Limoeiro's goal record stands at 55% scoring rate across 22 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Esporte Limoeiro VS Itarema
0.38 Goals Scored 0
1.25 Goals Conceded 4
50% Over 1.5 100%
38% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Esporte Limoeiro

(Home)
20 Sept
Acopiara
1 : 0
Esporte Limoeiro
13 Sept
Esporte Limoeiro
1 : 2
Acopiara
05 Sept
Esporte Limoeiro
1 : 2
Acopiara
29 Aug
Calouros do Ar
1 : 2
Esporte Limoeiro
23 Aug
Esporte Limoeiro
3 : 0
Palmacia
Page 1 of 5

Itarema

(Away)
20 Jul
Crato
6 : 0
Itarema
15 Jul
Itarema
0 : 2
Tiangua EC
08 Jul
Itarema
1 : 2
Terra e Mar
30 Jun
Esporte Limoeiro
2 : 0
Itarema
23 Jun
Itarema
0 : 1
Alianca Futebol Clube
Page 1 of 2

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Quixada 6 5 1 0 10:3 16
2 Esporte Limoeiro 6 4 1 1 8:3 13
3 Crato 6 3 1 2 12:7 10
4 Terra e Mar 6 3 0 3 12:11 9
5 Tiangua EC 6 3 0 3 8:7 9
6 Alianca Futebol Clube 6 1 1 4 5:10 4
7 Itarema 6 0 0 6 1:15 0
Promotion - Cearense 3 2024 (Play Offs)