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Esporte Limoeiro vs Tiangua EC - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

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Cearense 3
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Match Events

47' Event
Dondom

AI Match Summary

The Cearense 3 game between Esporte Limoeiro and Tiangua EC finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Esporte Limoeiro.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Esporte Limoeiro
15%
Draws
34%
Tiangua EC
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Esporte Limoeiro

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Esporte Limoeiro carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 51% — that's where the model lands on Esporte Limoeiro taking it.
  • Regular Cearense 3 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 16.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 7%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 64.2%
Esporte Limoeiro Clean Sheet 20%
Tiangua EC Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Esporte Limoeiro Tiangua EC
Matches Played 22 12
Wins 7 4
Draws 5 1
Losses 10 7
Goals Scored 0.82 1.17
Goals Conceded 0.91 1.42
Expected Goals (xG) 0.96 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 2, 2026 Cearense 3
Esporte Limoeiro vs Tiangua EC
1:0
Jun 16, 2024 Cearense 3
Esporte Limoeiro vs Tiangua EC
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Esporte Limoeiro Compare

Top Goalscorer Dondom
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.74
Avg xA / game 0.48

Tiangua EC Compare

Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Esporte Limoeiro 58 / 100
Tiangua EC 19 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Esporte Limoeiro Tiangua EC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Esporte Limoeiro Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Tiangua EC conceded in 83% of 12 recent games.

Difficult form: Tiangua EC registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Esporte Limoeiro's goal record stands at 55% scoring rate across 22 recent games.

Historical meetings average 1.00 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Esporte Limoeiro VS Tiangua EC
0.25 Goals Scored 1
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.67
50% Over 1.5 50%
38% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 33%

Recent Form & Match History

Esporte Limoeiro

(Home)
20 Sept
Acopiara
1 : 0
Esporte Limoeiro
13 Sept
Esporte Limoeiro
1 : 2
Acopiara
05 Sept
Esporte Limoeiro
1 : 2
Acopiara
29 Aug
Calouros do Ar
1 : 2
Esporte Limoeiro
23 Aug
Esporte Limoeiro
3 : 0
Palmacia
Page 1 of 5

Tiangua EC

(Away)
05 Sept
Tiangua EC
0 : 1
Vila Real
30 Aug
Acopiara
2 : 1
Tiangua EC
23 Aug
Tiangua EC
2 : 4
Calouros do Ar
18 Aug
Palmacia
0 : 1
Tiangua EC
11 Aug
Tiangua EC
2 : 2
Pacatuba
Page 1 of 3

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vila Real 6 4 2 0 9:5 14
2 Acopiara 6 4 1 1 12:7 13
3 Esporte Limoeiro 6 3 1 2 7:4 10
4 Pacatuba 6 2 4 0 8:6 10
5 Calouros do Ar 6 2 0 4 8:11 6
6 Tiangua EC 6 1 1 4 6:10 4
7 Palmacia 6 0 1 5 5:12 1
Promotion - Cearense 3 (Play Offs)