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Esportivo Bento Goncalves vs Gramadense - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Brazil Brazil

Gaucho 2
Our Tip

Match Events

20' Event
Otavio
30' Event
Otavio
83' Event
Henrique G.

AI Match Summary

The Gaucho 2 game between Esportivo Bento Goncalves and Gramadense finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Esportivo Bento Goncalves.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Esportivo Bento Goncalves
35%
Draws
22%
Gramadense
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Esportivo Bento Goncalves

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

43% / Low Confidence
  • Esportivo Bento Goncalves carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 43% — that's where the model lands on Esportivo Bento Goncalves taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.400000000000006%
Esportivo Bento Goncalves Clean Sheet 68%
Gramadense Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Esportivo Bento Goncalves Gramadense
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 10 7
Draws 12 14
Losses 7 9
Goals Scored 1.17 0.9
Goals Conceded 0.86 1.3
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 12, 2026 Gaucho 2
Esportivo Bento Goncalves vs Gramadense
3:1
Jun 24, 2025 Gaucho 2
Esportivo Bento Goncalves vs Gramadense
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Esportivo Bento Goncalves Compare

Top Goalscorer Otavio
2 Goals
Assists Leader Henrique G.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Gramadense Compare

Top Goalscorer Lucao
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Esportivo Bento Goncalves 86 / 100
Gramadense 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Esportivo Bento Goncalves Gramadense

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Esportivo Bento Goncalves Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Esportivo Bento Goncalves scored in 79% of their last 29 games.

Defensive concern: Gramadense conceded in 70% of 30 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.50 goals.

Esportivo Bento Goncalves has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Esportivo Bento Goncalves VS Gramadense
1.38 Goals Scored 0.63
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.38
88% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Esportivo Bento Goncalves

(Home)
10 Oct
Esportivo Bento Goncalves
0 : 2
Brasil de Pelotas
03 Oct
Brasil de Pelotas
0 : 0
Esportivo Bento Goncalves
27 Sept
Aimore
1 : 1
Esportivo Bento Goncalves
23 Sept
Esportivo Bento Goncalves
2 : 1
SC Gaucho
19 Sept
Veranopolis
0 : 1
Esportivo Bento Goncalves
Page 1 of 6

Gramadense

(Away)
27 Sept
GE Gloria
1 : 1
Gramadense
23 Sept
Gramadense
1 : 1
Pelotas
19 Sept
GE Bage
1 : 1
Gramadense
16 Sept
Gramadense
0 : 0
Brasil de Farroupilha
12 Sept
Esportivo Bento Goncalves
3 : 1
Gramadense
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Passo Fundo 15 8 6 1 21:9 30
2 Veranopolis 15 7 5 3 12:6 26
3 Esportivo Bento Goncalves 15 6 7 2 18:12 25
4 Santa Cruz RS 15 6 7 2 15:10 25
5 Apafut 15 6 6 3 20:14 24
6 Brasil de Pelotas 15 6 6 3 18:12 24
7 Uniao Frederiquense De Futebol 15 6 6 3 17:12 24
8 Brasil de Farroupilha 15 5 9 1 15:9 24
9 Aimore 15 5 6 4 14:14 21
10 EC Guarani 15 4 6 5 18:21 18
11 Pelotas 15 3 7 5 13:19 16
12 GE Bage 15 3 6 6 13:19 15
13 SC Gaucho 15 3 3 9 11:16 12
14 GE Gloria 15 2 6 7 12:18 12
15 Gramadense 15 1 8 6 10:19 11
16 Lajeadense 15 1 2 12 6:23 5
Promotion - Gaucho 2 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Gaucho 3 2027 (Main)