Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Esportivo Bento Goncalves vs Pelotas - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Brazil Brazil

Gaucho 2
Our Tip

Match Events

45' Event
Michel Bennech
78' Event
Marcos Avila J.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Gaucho 2 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

52%
Esportivo Bento Goncalves
35%
Draws
13%
Pelotas
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Esportivo Bento Goncalves

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

52% / Medium Confidence
  • Pelotas average 1.34 goals a game right now, well clear of Esportivo Bento Goncalves's 1.21.
  • Win probability leans Esportivo Bento Goncalves's way, sitting at 80%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.2%
Esportivo Bento Goncalves Clean Sheet 68%
Pelotas Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Esportivo Bento Goncalves Pelotas
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 10 10
Draws 12 10
Losses 6 9
Goals Scored 1.21 1.34
Goals Conceded 0.82 1.14
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 5, 2026 Gaucho 2
Esportivo Bento Goncalves vs Pelotas
1:1
Oct 12, 2025 Copa FGF
Pelotas vs Esportivo Bento Goncalves
2:1
Apr 1, 2021 Gaucho
Pelotas vs Esportivo Bento Goncalves
0:2
Mar 15, 2020 Gaucho
Esportivo Bento Goncalves vs Pelotas
2:1
Jan 9, 2020 Club Friendly
Pelotas vs Esportivo Bento Goncalves
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Esportivo Bento Goncalves Compare

Top Goalscorer Marcos Avila J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Pelotas Compare

Top Goalscorer Michel Bennech
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Esportivo Bento Goncalves 86 / 100
Pelotas 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Esportivo Bento Goncalves Pelotas

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Esportivo Bento Goncalves Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Esportivo Bento Goncalves scored in 82% of their last 28 outings.

Defensive concern: Pelotas conceded in 62% of 29 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.20 goals.

Recent resilience: Esportivo Bento Goncalves stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Esportivo Bento Goncalves VS Pelotas
1.38 Goals Scored 1.13
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.63
88% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Esportivo Bento Goncalves

(Home)
03 Oct
Brasil de Pelotas
0 : 0
Esportivo Bento Goncalves
27 Sept
Aimore
1 : 1
Esportivo Bento Goncalves
23 Sept
Esportivo Bento Goncalves
2 : 1
SC Gaucho
19 Sept
Veranopolis
0 : 1
Esportivo Bento Goncalves
16 Sept
Passo Fundo
2 : 1
Esportivo Bento Goncalves
Page 1 of 6

Pelotas

(Away)
27 Sept
Pelotas
0 : 0
Brasil de Farroupilha
23 Sept
Gramadense
1 : 1
Pelotas
19 Sept
Pelotas
0 : 3
Brasil de Pelotas
16 Sept
Apafut
2 : 1
Pelotas
13 Sept
Pelotas
2 : 3
EC Guarani
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Passo Fundo 15 8 6 1 21:9 30
2 Veranopolis 15 7 5 3 12:6 26
3 Esportivo Bento Goncalves 15 6 7 2 18:12 25
4 Santa Cruz RS 15 6 7 2 15:10 25
5 Apafut 15 6 6 3 20:14 24
6 Brasil de Pelotas 15 6 6 3 18:12 24
7 Uniao Frederiquense De Futebol 15 6 6 3 17:12 24
8 Brasil de Farroupilha 15 5 9 1 15:9 24
9 Aimore 15 5 6 4 14:14 21
10 EC Guarani 15 4 6 5 18:21 18
11 Pelotas 15 3 7 5 13:19 16
12 GE Bage 15 3 6 6 13:19 15
13 SC Gaucho 15 3 3 9 11:16 12
14 GE Gloria 15 2 6 7 12:18 12
15 Gramadense 15 1 8 6 10:19 11
16 Lajeadense 15 1 2 12 6:23 5
Promotion - Gaucho 2 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Gaucho 3 2027 (Main)