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Esportivo Bento Goncalves vs SC Gaucho - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Brazil Brazil

Gaucho 2
Our Tip

Match Events

34' Event
Giovanni
(Penalty)
47' Event
Lucas Fogaca
55' Event
Otavio

AI Match Summary

Esportivo Bento Goncalves in this Gaucho 2 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Esportivo Bento Goncalves.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

62%
Esportivo Bento Goncalves
30%
Draws
8%
SC Gaucho
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Esportivo Bento Goncalves

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

62% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Esportivo Bento Goncalves lately — more wins on the board than SC Gaucho.
  • Esportivo Bento Goncalves are the model's pick here, at 80%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.400000000000002%
Esportivo Bento Goncalves Clean Sheet 68%
SC Gaucho Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Esportivo Bento Goncalves SC Gaucho
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 10 8
Draws 12 7
Losses 7 14
Goals Scored 1.17 1
Goals Conceded 0.86 0.93
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 0.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 23, 2026 Gaucho 2
Esportivo Bento Goncalves vs SC Gaucho
2:1
Oct 25, 2025 Copa FGF
Esportivo Bento Goncalves vs SC Gaucho
1:1
Jun 8, 2025 Gaucho 2
Esportivo Bento Goncalves vs SC Gaucho
2:0
Jul 10, 2024 Gaucho 2
SC Gaucho vs Esportivo Bento Goncalves
0:2
Apr 13, 2024 Gaucho 2
Esportivo Bento Goncalves vs SC Gaucho
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Esportivo Bento Goncalves Compare

Top Goalscorer Otavio
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

SC Gaucho Compare

Top Goalscorer Lucas Fogaca
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.74
Avg xA / game 0.45

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Esportivo Bento Goncalves 86 / 100
SC Gaucho 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Esportivo Bento Goncalves SC Gaucho

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Esportivo Bento Goncalves Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Esportivo Bento Goncalves found the back of the net in 79% of recent matches (29 games).

SC Gaucho's defensive record shows goals conceded in 72% of 29 matches.

Historical meetings average 1.80 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Esportivo Bento Goncalves stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Esportivo Bento Goncalves VS SC Gaucho
1.38 Goals Scored 0.5
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.13
88% Over 1.5 38%
50% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Esportivo Bento Goncalves

(Home)
10 Oct
Esportivo Bento Goncalves
0 : 2
Brasil de Pelotas
03 Oct
Brasil de Pelotas
0 : 0
Esportivo Bento Goncalves
27 Sept
Aimore
1 : 1
Esportivo Bento Goncalves
23 Sept
Esportivo Bento Goncalves
2 : 1
SC Gaucho
19 Sept
Veranopolis
0 : 1
Esportivo Bento Goncalves
Page 1 of 6

SC Gaucho

(Away)
27 Sept
SC Gaucho
0 : 1
Santa Cruz RS
23 Sept
Esportivo Bento Goncalves
2 : 1
SC Gaucho
19 Sept
SC Gaucho
1 : 3
Passo Fundo
16 Sept
Lajeadense
1 : 0
SC Gaucho
13 Sept
SC Gaucho
0 : 0
Veranopolis
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Passo Fundo 15 8 6 1 21:9 30
2 Veranopolis 15 7 5 3 12:6 26
3 Esportivo Bento Goncalves 15 6 7 2 18:12 25
4 Santa Cruz RS 15 6 7 2 15:10 25
5 Apafut 15 6 6 3 20:14 24
6 Brasil de Pelotas 15 6 6 3 18:12 24
7 Uniao Frederiquense De Futebol 15 6 6 3 17:12 24
8 Brasil de Farroupilha 15 5 9 1 15:9 24
9 Aimore 15 5 6 4 14:14 21
10 EC Guarani 15 4 6 5 18:21 18
11 Pelotas 15 3 7 5 13:19 16
12 GE Bage 15 3 6 6 13:19 15
13 SC Gaucho 15 3 3 9 11:16 12
14 GE Gloria 15 2 6 7 12:18 12
15 Gramadense 15 1 8 6 10:19 11
16 Lajeadense 15 1 2 12 6:23 5
Promotion - Gaucho 2 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Gaucho 3 2027 (Main)