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Esportivo Bento Goncalves vs SC Gaucho

Brazil Brazil

Copa FGF 2025
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Esportivo Bento Goncalves play SC Gaucho in the Copa FGF 2025. It looks like a close match. Recently, Esportivo Bento Goncalves averaged 1.17 goals scored and 1.21 conceded. SC Gaucho averaged 1.09 goals scored and 1.19 conceded. In past meetings, Esportivo Bento Goncalves won 3, SC Gaucho won 0, and they drew 2. Their last match on Oct 25, 2025 ended 1:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 0.94 for Esportivo Bento Goncalves and 1.19 for SC Gaucho. This points to a Esportivo Bento Goncalves double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

41%
Esportivo Bento Goncalves
29%
Draws
30%
SC Gaucho
Draw rate projection: 29% Favored: Esportivo Bento Goncalves

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

74% / Medium Confidence
  • Esportivo Bento Goncalves picked up more points recently compared to SC Gaucho.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (0.94 vs 1.19 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 71%
Over 2.5 Goals 35%
Over 3.5 Goals 21%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 45%
Esportivo Bento Goncalves Clean Sheet 20%
SC Gaucho Clean Sheet 16%
First Half Goal 64%
Second Half Goal 67%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Esportivo Bento Goncalves SC Gaucho
Matches Played 29 32
Wins 8 8
Draws 7 8
Losses 14 16
Goals Scored 1.17 1.09
Goals Conceded 1.21 1.19
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.75 0.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 25, 2025 Copa FGF
Esportivo Bento Goncalves vs SC Gaucho
1:1
Jun 8, 2025 Gaucho 2
Esportivo Bento Goncalves vs SC Gaucho
2:0
Jul 10, 2024 Gaucho 2
SC Gaucho vs Esportivo Bento Goncalves
0:2
Apr 13, 2024 Gaucho 2
Esportivo Bento Goncalves vs SC Gaucho
0:0
Jun 5, 2022 Gaucho 2
SC Gaucho vs Esportivo Bento Goncalves
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Esportivo Bento Goncalves Compare

Top Goalscorer Guilherme Farias
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

SC Gaucho Compare

Top Goalscorer Zanelatto M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Esportivo Bento Goncalves 41 / 100
SC Gaucho 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Esportivo Bento Goncalves SC Gaucho

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Esportivo Bento Goncalves or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +24.2%
3.03
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +20.8%
3.45
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Esportivo Bento Goncalves attacking → ← attacking SC Gaucho

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Esportivo Bento Goncalves scored in 72% of their last 29 games.

SC Gaucho let in goals in 66% of their last 32 matches.

Games between these two average 1.40 goals.

Esportivo Bento Goncalves went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

SC Gaucho lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

31 Points in last 5 32
1.50 Goals expected (xG) 1.63
0.75 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.38

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Pelotas751119:316
2SC Gaucho742111:314
3Brasil de Pelotas734016:413
4Esportivo Bento Goncalves733112:612
5Aimore73139:510
6EC Juventude 271245:167
7Internacional 2720510:156
8Sao Gabriel70160:30-4