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Essendon Royals vs Box Hill

Australia Australia

Victoria Premier League 2
Our Tip

Match Events

10' Event
Trajkoski A.
29' Event
Niwa T.
34' Event
Varelas E.

AI Match Summary

Essendon Royals in this Victoria Premier League 2 matchup, with the score ending 3-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Essendon Royals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Essendon Royals
6%
Draws
4%
Box Hill
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Essendon Royals

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Essendon Royals lately — more wins on the board than Box Hill.
  • Model gives Essendon Royals a 90% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79%
Essendon Royals Clean Sheet 16%
Box Hill Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Essendon Royals Box Hill
Matches Played 22 29
Wins 13 9
Draws 2 11
Losses 7 9
Goals Scored 3.38 1.75
Goals Conceded 1.25 1.75
Expected Goals (xG) 3.38 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.25 1.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 10, 2026 Victoria Premier League 2
Essendon Royals vs Box Hill
3:2
Mar 27, 2026 Victoria Premier League 2
Box Hill vs Essendon Royals
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Essendon Royals Compare

Top Goalscorer Trajkoski A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Niwa T.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.6
Avg xA / game 1.69

Box Hill Compare

Top Goalscorer Varelas E.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Weller N.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Essendon Royals 84 / 100
Box Hill 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Essendon Royals Box Hill

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ESS Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Essendon Royals scored in 86% of their last 22 outings.

Box Hill let in goals in 86% of their last 29 matches.

Solid form: Essendon Royals remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Scoring Trends

Essendon Royals VS Box Hill
3.38 Goals Scored 1.75
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.75
88% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 88%
75% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Essendon Royals

(Home)
24 Jul
Essendon Royals
4 : 2
Kingston City
17 Jul
Whittlesea United
1 : 1
Essendon Royals
10 Jul
Essendon Royals
3 : 2
Box Hill
04 Jul
Bayside Argonauts
1 : 1
Essendon Royals
19 Jun
Essendon Royals
3 : 2
Werribee City
Page 1 of 5

Box Hill

(Away)
24 Jul
Eastern Lions
1 : 1
Box Hill
17 Jul
Box Hill
3 : 1
Altona City
10 Jul
Essendon Royals
3 : 2
Box Hill
03 Jul
Box Hill
1 : 3
Whittlesea United
19 Jun
Box Hill
3 : 1
Kingston City
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Malvern City21151551:2446
2Goulburn Valley Suns20143346:2745
3Essendon Royals22132754:3341
4Bayside Argonauts21115540:2938
5Keilor Park21111929:2834
6Box Hill2196633:2633
7Whittlesea United2177732:2428
8Springvale2175925:3726
9Eastern Lions2167832:2825
10Nunawading City21741021:3425
11Werribee City21551127:3720
12Kingston City21621323:4720
13Altona City21371118:3116
14Moreland City19251220:4611
Promotion - Victoria Premier League (Main)
Promotion - Victoria Premier League 2 (Promotion - Play Offs)