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Essendon Royals vs Goulburn Valley Suns

Australia Australia

Victoria Premier League 2
Our Tip

Match Events

8' Event
Al Gazaly M.
30' Event
Hughes C.
35' Event
Hughes C.

AI Match Summary

The Victoria Premier League 2 game between Essendon Royals and Goulburn Valley Suns finished 2-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Goulburn Valley Suns.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

80%
Essendon Royals
11%
Draws
9%
Goulburn Valley Suns
Draw rate projection: 11% Favored: Essendon Royals

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

93% / Very High Confidence
  • Essendon Royals haven't matched Goulburn Valley Suns's recent run of results.
  • Essendon Royals are the model's pick here, at 80%.
  • Regular Victoria Premier League 2 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.6%
Essendon Royals Clean Sheet 14%
Goulburn Valley Suns Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Essendon Royals Goulburn Valley Suns
Matches Played 20 29
Wins 12 13
Draws 1 5
Losses 7 11
Goals Scored 3.13 2.13
Goals Conceded 1.13 1
Expected Goals (xG) 3.13 2.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 30, 2026 Victoria Premier League 2
Goulburn Valley Suns vs Essendon Royals
1:0
Feb 21, 2026 Victoria Premier League 2
Essendon Royals vs Goulburn Valley Suns
2:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Essendon Royals Compare

Top Goalscorer Adeyemi J.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 2.41
Avg xA / game 1.56

Goulburn Valley Suns Compare

Top Goalscorer Hughes C.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Al Gazaly M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.94
Avg xA / game 1.18

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Essendon Royals 75 / 100
Goulburn Valley Suns 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Essendon Royals Goulburn Valley Suns

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ESS Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Essendon Royals scored in 85% of their last 20 games.

Goulburn Valley Suns let in goals in 83% of their last 29 matches.

Solid form: Essendon Royals remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Essendon Royals VS Goulburn Valley Suns
3.13 Goals Scored 2.13
1.13 Goals Conceded 1
75% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 63%
63% Over 3.5 38%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Goulburn Valley Suns19133343:2542
2Malvern City19131542:2340
3Essendon Royals20121749:3037
4Bayside Argonauts19104538:2834
5Keilor Park19101826:2631
6Box Hill1985629:2429
7Whittlesea United2076731:2327
8Springvale2075825:3526
9Eastern Lions1965830:2623
10Nunawading City1964918:3022
11Werribee City20551026:3420
12Kingston City19621119:4020
13Altona City20371017:2816
14Moreland City18251120:4111