Sport Picks
Essendon Royals vs Keilor Park
Australia
Victoria Premier League 2 
Match Events
7'
7'
Litchfield S.
(Penalty)
37'
37'
Saunders R.
40'
40'
Branov M.
AI Match Summary
Keilor Park in this Victoria Premier League 2 matchup, with the score ending 1-4 — backing the pre-match view that favored Keilor Park.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
47%
20%
33%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Essendon Royals
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
47%
/ Medium Confidence
- Keilor Park haven't matched Essendon Royals's recent run of results.
- Win probability leans Essendon Royals's way, sitting at 50%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- These two have met 3 times recently and Keilor Park have taken 2 of them.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77%
Essendon Royals Clean Sheet 13%
Keilor Park Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Essendon Royals | Keilor Park |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 27 | 27 |
| Wins | 16 | 14 |
| Draws | 3 | 2 |
| Losses | 8 | 11 |
| Goals Scored | 2.44 | 1.52 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.63 | 1.48 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.06 | 1.69 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 11, 2026 Victoria Premier League 2
Essendon Royals vs Keilor Park
3:2
Aug 21, 2026 Victoria Premier League 2
Essendon Royals vs Keilor Park
1:4
May 8, 2026 Victoria Premier League 2
Keilor Park vs Essendon Royals
1:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Essendon Royals Compare
Top Goalscorer Mulhern E. F.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.58
Avg xA / game 1.03
Keilor Park Compare
Top Goalscorer Saunders R.
1 Goals Assists Leader Branov M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 0.94
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Essendon Royals 48 / 100
Keilor Park 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Essendon Royals Keilor Park
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Essendon Royals Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Essendon Royals found the back of the net in 89% of recent matches (27 games).
H2H data points to 3.67 goals as a typical output.
Keilor Park's defensive record shows goals conceded in 74% of 27 matches.
Essendon Royals went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Essendon Royals VS Keilor Park
2.38 Goals Scored 1.5
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.75
100% Over 1.5 63%
75% Over 2.5 50%
75% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
Essendon Royals
(Home) 11 Sept
Essendon Royals
3 : 2 Keilor Park
29 Aug
Moreland City
2 : 2 Essendon Royals
21 Aug
Essendon Royals
1 : 4 Keilor Park
14 Aug
Eastern Lions
1 : 3 Essendon Royals
31 Jul
Essendon Royals
3 : 2 Altona City
Page 1 of 6
11 Sept
Essendon Royals
3 : 2 Keilor Park
21 Aug
Essendon Royals
1 : 4 Keilor Park
31 Jul
Essendon Royals
3 : 2 Altona City
24 Jul
Essendon Royals
4 : 2 Kingston City
10 Jul
Essendon Royals
3 : 2 Box Hill
Page 1 of 3
Keilor Park
(Away) 11 Sept
Essendon Royals
3 : 2 Keilor Park
29 Aug
Keilor Park
2 : 1 Altona City
21 Aug
Essendon Royals
1 : 4 Keilor Park
14 Aug
Keilor Park
3 : 3 Whittlesea United
08 Aug
Keilor Park
0 : 4 Goulburn Valley Suns
Page 1 of 6
11 Sept
Essendon Royals
3 : 2 Keilor Park
21 Aug
Essendon Royals
1 : 4 Keilor Park
31 Jul
Box Hill
0 : 1 Keilor Park
18 Jul
Werribee City
1 : 3 Keilor Park
03 Jul
Springvale
5 : 2 Keilor Park
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Goulburn Valley Suns | 26 | 18 | 3 | 5 | 60:35 | 57 |
| 2 | Malvern City | 26 | 18 | 2 | 6 | 66:33 | 56 |
| 3 | Bayside Argonauts | 26 | 15 | 5 | 6 | 47:32 | 50 |
| 4 | Essendon Royals | 26 | 15 | 3 | 8 | 63:42 | 48 |
| 5 | Keilor Park | 26 | 14 | 2 | 10 | 39:37 | 44 |
| 6 | Box Hill | 26 | 11 | 7 | 8 | 37:32 | 40 |
| 7 | Whittlesea United | 26 | 9 | 10 | 7 | 49:32 | 37 |
| 8 | Springvale | 26 | 9 | 5 | 12 | 32:46 | 32 |
| 9 | Eastern Lions | 26 | 7 | 9 | 10 | 43:43 | 30 |
| 10 | Kingston City | 26 | 9 | 3 | 14 | 37:55 | 30 |
| 11 | Nunawading City | 26 | 8 | 5 | 13 | 29:44 | 29 |
| 12 | Werribee City | 26 | 6 | 6 | 14 | 37:50 | 24 |
| 13 | Altona City | 26 | 3 | 8 | 15 | 25:44 | 17 |
| 14 | Moreland City | 26 | 2 | 8 | 16 | 34:73 | 14 |
Promotion - Victoria Premier League (Main)
Promotion - Victoria Premier League 2 (Promotion - Play Offs)
