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Essendon Royals vs Kingston City

Australia Australia

Victoria Premier League 2
Our Tip

Match Events

1' Event
Clarke D.
5' Event
Mulhern E. F.
19' Event
Rellos D.

AI Match Summary

The Victoria Premier League 2 game between Essendon Royals and Kingston City finished 4-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Essendon Royals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Essendon Royals
39%
Draws
31%
Kingston City
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Essendon Royals come out ahead of Kingston City on wins alone.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • Regular Victoria Premier League 2 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Essendon Royals Clean Sheet 19%
Kingston City Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Essendon Royals Kingston City
Matches Played 21 31
Wins 12 9
Draws 2 7
Losses 7 15
Goals Scored 3.38 1.25
Goals Conceded 1.25 2.13
Expected Goals (xG) 3.38 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.25 2.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 24, 2026 Victoria Premier League 2
Essendon Royals vs Kingston City
4:2
Apr 17, 2026 Victoria Premier League 2
Kingston City vs Essendon Royals
0:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Essendon Royals Compare

Top Goalscorer Clarke D.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Mulhern E. F.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.6
Avg xA / game 1.69

Kingston City Compare

Top Goalscorer Rellos D.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Essendon Royals 31 / 100
Kingston City 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Essendon Royals Kingston City

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ESS Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Essendon Royals scored in 86% of their last 21 outings.

Kingston City has conceded goals in 81% of their last 31 outings.

Historical meetings average 4.50 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Essendon Royals stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Essendon Royals VS Kingston City
3.38 Goals Scored 1.25
1.25 Goals Conceded 2.13
88% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 63%
75% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Essendon Royals

(Home)
17 Jul
Whittlesea United
1 : 1
Essendon Royals
10 Jul
Essendon Royals
3 : 2
Box Hill
04 Jul
Bayside Argonauts
1 : 1
Essendon Royals
19 Jun
Essendon Royals
3 : 2
Werribee City
13 Jun
Malvern City
2 : 4
Essendon Royals
Page 1 of 5

Kingston City

(Away)
18 Jul
Kingston City
2 : 3
Goulburn Valley Suns
10 Jul
Whittlesea United
1 : 1
Kingston City
03 Jul
Kingston City
4 : 0
Nunawading City
19 Jun
Box Hill
3 : 1
Kingston City
12 Jun
Kingston City
2 : 1
Moreland City
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Malvern City21151551:2446
2Goulburn Valley Suns20143346:2745
3Essendon Royals22132754:3341
4Bayside Argonauts21115540:2938
5Keilor Park21111929:2834
6Box Hill2196633:2633
7Whittlesea United2177732:2428
8Springvale2175925:3726
9Eastern Lions2167832:2825
10Nunawading City21741021:3425
11Werribee City21551127:3720
12Kingston City21621323:4720
13Altona City21371118:3116
14Moreland City19251220:4611
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