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Essendon Royals W vs Box Hill W

Australia Australia

NPL Victoria Women
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AI Match Summary

The NPL Victoria Women game between Essendon Royals W and Box Hill W finished 7-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Essendon Royals W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Essendon Royals W
30%
Draws
34%
Box Hill W
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Essendon Royals W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Box Hill W come out ahead of Essendon Royals W on wins alone.
  • Model gives Essendon Royals W a 36% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 84%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 84%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Essendon Royals W Clean Sheet 10%
Box Hill W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Essendon Royals W Box Hill W
Matches Played 22 22
Wins 15 16
Draws 2 2
Losses 5 4
Goals Scored 2.88 3.13
Goals Conceded 1.25 1.75
Expected Goals (xG) 2.88 3.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.25 1.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 23, 2026 NPL Victoria Women
Essendon Royals W vs Box Hill W
7:1
Feb 13, 2026 NPL Victoria Women
Box Hill W vs Essendon Royals W
1:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Essendon Royals W 34 / 100
Box Hill W 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Essendon Royals W Box Hill W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Essendon Royals W found the back of the net in 95% of recent matches (22 games).

Historical meetings average 6.00 goals per match.

Essendon Royals W went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Box Hill W's defensive record shows goals conceded in 59% of 22 matches.

Scoring Trends

Essendon Royals W VS Box Hill W
2.88 Goals Scored 3.13
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.75
100% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 100%
50% Over 3.5 88%

Recent Form & Match History

Essendon Royals W

(Home)
25 Jul
Essendon Royals W
6 : 0
Melbourne Victory U20 W
18 Jul
Melbourne City U20 W
1 : 3
Essendon Royals W
11 Jul
Essendon Royals W
3 : 0
Keilor Park W
04 Jul
Avondale FC W
4 : 2
Essendon Royals W
27 Jun
Essendon Royals W
1 : 2
Bulleen Lions W
Page 1 of 5

Box Hill W

(Away)
24 Jul
Box Hill W
2 : 0
Alamein FC W
17 Jul
Spring Hills W
0 : 1
Box Hill W
10 Jul
Box Hill W
3 : 1
Boroondara Eagles W
04 Jul
Melbourne Victory U20 W
1 : 5
Box Hill W
27 Jun
South Melbourne W
2 : 2
Box Hill W
Page 1 of 5

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Box Hill W22162459:2450
2Essendon Royals W22152563:2447
3Bulleen Lions W22144453:2146
4Avondale FC W22142655:2244
5Boroondara Eagles W22131847:3440
6South Melbourne W22116543:2239
7Alamein FC W22113828:2436
8Spring Hills W22821226:3226
9Melbourne Victory U20 W21821135:4626
10Heidelberg Utd W22651132:4423
11Preston Lions W22651126:4123
12Keilor Park W22651122:3823
13Bentleigh Greens W22221817:748
14Melbourne City U20 W21211820:807
Promotion - NPL Victoria Women (Play Offs)