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Essendon Royals W vs Spring Hills W

Australia Australia

NPL Victoria Women
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The NPL Victoria Women game between Essendon Royals W and Spring Hills W finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Essendon Royals W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Essendon Royals W
6%
Draws
4%
Spring Hills W
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Essendon Royals W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Essendon Royals W come out ahead of Spring Hills W on wins alone.
  • Essendon Royals W are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.6%
Essendon Royals W Clean Sheet 68%
Spring Hills W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Essendon Royals W Spring Hills W
Matches Played 22 22
Wins 15 8
Draws 2 2
Losses 5 12
Goals Scored 3 0.88
Goals Conceded 1.13 0.75
Expected Goals (xG) 3.00 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 0.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 6, 2026 NPL Victoria Women
Essendon Royals W vs Spring Hills W
2:1
Feb 27, 2026 NPL Victoria Women
Spring Hills W vs Essendon Royals W
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Essendon Royals W 95 / 100
Spring Hills W 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Essendon Royals W Spring Hills W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ESS Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Essendon Royals W's goal record stands at 95% scoring rate across 22 recent games.

Spring Hills W's defensive record shows goals conceded in 73% of 22 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Essendon Royals W remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Essendon Royals W VS Spring Hills W
3 Goals Scored 0.88
1.13 Goals Conceded 0.75
100% Over 1.5 38%
88% Over 2.5 25%
50% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Essendon Royals W

(Home)
25 Jul
Essendon Royals W
6 : 0
Melbourne Victory U20 W
18 Jul
Melbourne City U20 W
1 : 3
Essendon Royals W
11 Jul
Essendon Royals W
3 : 0
Keilor Park W
04 Jul
Avondale FC W
4 : 2
Essendon Royals W
27 Jun
Essendon Royals W
1 : 2
Bulleen Lions W
Page 1 of 5

Spring Hills W

(Away)
25 Jul
Boroondara Eagles W
2 : 1
Spring Hills W
17 Jul
Spring Hills W
0 : 1
Box Hill W
11 Jul
South Melbourne W
1 : 0
Spring Hills W
03 Jul
Spring Hills W
1 : 0
Heidelberg Utd W
26 Jun
Preston Lions W
0 : 1
Spring Hills W
Page 1 of 5

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Box Hill W 22 16 2 4 59:24 50
2 Essendon Royals W 22 15 2 5 63:24 47
3 Bulleen Lions W 22 14 4 4 53:21 46
4 Avondale FC W 22 14 2 6 55:22 44
5 Boroondara Eagles W 22 13 1 8 47:34 40
6 South Melbourne W 22 11 6 5 43:22 39
7 Alamein FC W 22 11 3 8 28:24 36
8 Melbourne Victory U20 W 22 9 2 11 41:47 29
9 Spring Hills W 22 8 2 12 26:32 26
10 Heidelberg Utd W 22 6 5 11 32:44 23
11 Preston Lions W 22 6 5 11 26:41 23
12 Keilor Park W 22 6 5 11 22:38 23
13 Bentleigh Greens W 22 2 2 18 17:74 8
14 Melbourne City U20 W 22 2 1 19 21:86 7
Promotion - NPL Victoria Women (Play Offs)