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Essor-Prechotain vs New Star Ducos

Martinique Martinique

Trophee Gerard Janvion 2018/2019
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Trophee Gerard Janvion 2018/2019 game between Essor-Prechotain and New Star Ducos finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Essor-Prechotain.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Essor-Prechotain
35%
Draws
26%
New Star Ducos
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Essor-Prechotain

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

26% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Essor-Prechotain come out ahead of New Star Ducos on wins alone.
  • 26% — that's where the model lands on New Star Ducos taking it.
  • Regular Trophee Gerard Janvion 2018/2019 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Essor-Prechotain have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Essor-Prechotain Clean Sheet 20%
New Star Ducos Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Essor-Prechotain New Star Ducos
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 9 4
Draws 4 9
Losses 17 17
Goals Scored 1.37 0.7
Goals Conceded 2.57 2.1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 21, 2022 Trophee Gerard Janvion
Essor-Prechotain vs New Star Ducos
1:0
Feb 12, 2022 Trophee Gerard Janvion
New Star Ducos vs Essor-Prechotain
2:1
Jan 9, 2021 Trophee Gerard Janvion
New Star Ducos vs Essor-Prechotain
1:4
Sep 5, 2020 Trophee Gerard Janvion
Essor-Prechotain vs New Star Ducos
2:1
Jan 11, 2020 Trophee Gerard Janvion
Essor-Prechotain vs New Star Ducos
3:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Essor-Prechotain 16 / 100
New Star Ducos 65 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Essor-Prechotain New Star Ducos

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick New Star Ducos Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

New Star Ducos's defensive record shows goals conceded in 87% of 30 matches.

Games between these two average 3.40 goals.

Essor-Prechotain's goal record stands at 77% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Essor-Prechotain went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Essor-Prechotain VS New Star Ducos
0.88 Goals Scored 0.88
3.5 Goals Conceded 1.88
100% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 50%
63% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Essor-Prechotain

(Home)
21 May
Essor-Prechotain
1 : 0
New Star Ducos
14 May
Club Colonial
7 : 1
Essor-Prechotain
07 May
Essor-Prechotain
4 : 2
CS Case-Pilote
30 Apr
Aiglon Lamentin
2 : 0
Essor-Prechotain
23 Apr
Essor-Prechotain
1 : 3
Assaut
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New Star Ducos

(Away)
21 May
Essor-Prechotain
1 : 0
New Star Ducos
14 May
New Star Ducos
1 : 1
US Riveraine
07 May
New Star Ducos
0 : 0
Club Colonial
30 Apr
CS Case-Pilote
1 : 1
New Star Ducos
23 Apr
New Star Ducos
1 : 1
Aiglon Lamentin
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