Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Essube vs Paracatu

Brazil Brazil

Mineiro 3 2024
Our Tip

Match Events

90' Event
Silva F.

AI Match Summary

The Mineiro 3 2024 game between Essube and Paracatu finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Essube.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Essube
20%
Draws
80%
Paracatu
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Paracatu

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

80% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Paracatu come out ahead of Essube on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Paracatu's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Mineiro 3 2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Essube Clean Sheet 20%
Paracatu Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Essube Paracatu
Matches Played 20 30
Wins 6 12
Draws 4 10
Losses 10 8
Goals Scored 1.35 1.47
Goals Conceded 1.4 1.03
Expected Goals (xG) 0.94 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 25, 2025 Mineiro 3
Essube vs Paracatu
0:2
Oct 11, 2025 Mineiro 3
Paracatu vs Essube
1:1
Oct 7, 2024 Mineiro 3
Paracatu vs Essube
1:1
Sep 14, 2024 Mineiro 3
Essube vs Paracatu
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Essube Compare

Top Goalscorer Silva F.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.72
Avg xA / game 0.47

Paracatu Compare

Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Essube 10 / 100
Paracatu 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Essube Paracatu

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Paracatu Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Essube scored in 60% of their last 20 outings.

Defensive concern: Paracatu conceded in 67% of 30 recent games.

H2H data points to 1.75 goals as a typical output.

Difficult form: Paracatu registered 1 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Essube VS Paracatu
0.63 Goals Scored 1
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.25
75% Over 1.5 88%
25% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Essube

(Home)
22 Nov
Coimbra Esporte Clube
2 : 0
Essube
15 Nov
Essube
1 : 3
Boa
08 Nov
Tupi-MG
1 : 0
Essube
01 Nov
Novo Esporte
2 : 0
Essube
25 Oct
Essube
0 : 2
Paracatu
Page 1 of 4

Paracatu

(Away)
22 Nov
Paracatu
0 : 0
Novo Esporte
15 Nov
Tupi-MG
1 : 2
Paracatu
08 Nov
Coimbra Esporte Clube
2 : 1
Paracatu
01 Nov
Paracatu
1 : 1
Boa
25 Oct
Essube
0 : 2
Paracatu
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Coimbra Esporte Clube 8 6 2 0 21:7 20
2 Contagem 8 4 3 1 14:6 15
3 America TO 8 4 1 3 9:6 13
4 Boston City 8 1 2 5 5:18 5
5 Social 8 0 2 6 3:15 2
Promotion - Mineiro 3 2024 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Guarani-MG 10 9 0 1 21:4 27
2 Tupynambas 10 7 0 3 29:8 21
3 Inter de Minas 10 4 3 3 19:17 15
4 Villa Real 10 4 1 5 15:20 13
5 Pocos de Caldas 10 2 2 6 12:20 8
6 Tres Coracoes 10 1 0 9 5:32 3
Promotion - Mineiro 3 2024 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Essube 8 5 1 2 20:10 16
2 Uberaba 8 5 1 2 18:11 16
3 Paracatu 8 4 2 2 18:6 14
4 Nacional Uberaba 8 4 0 4 17:14 12
5 Araguari 8 0 0 8 1:33 0
6 Araxa 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Mineiro 3 2024 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams