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Estadual W vs America ES W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

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Capixaba Women
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Estadual W in this Capixaba Women matchup, with the score ending 4-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Estadual W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

65%
Estadual W
20%
Draws
15%
America ES W
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Estadual W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / High Confidence
  • America ES W haven't matched Estadual W's recent run of results.
  • Estadual W are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 91.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 60.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 27%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Estadual W Clean Sheet 20%
America ES W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Estadual W America ES W
Matches Played 26 6
Wins 18 0
Draws 1 2
Losses 7 4
Goals Scored 3.08 1
Goals Conceded 1.5 4.83
Expected Goals (xG) 3.92 0.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 20, 2026 Capixaba Women
Estadual W vs America ES W
4:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Estadual W 85 / 100
America ES W 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Estadual W America ES W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Estadual W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Estadual W scored in 92% of their last 26 games.

America ES W has conceded goals in 83% of their last 6 outings.

Historical meetings average 5.00 goals per match.

Solid form: Estadual W remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Estadual W VS America ES W
3 Goals Scored 1
0.63 Goals Conceded 4.83
100% Over 1.5 83%
50% Over 2.5 83%
38% Over 3.5 83%

Recent Form & Match History

Estadual W

(Home)
03 Oct
Estadual W
3 : 0
Harpia W
27 Sept
MDE W
1 : 3
Estadual W
20 Sept
Estadual W
4 : 1
America ES W
12 Sept
Prosperidade W
6 : 0
Estadual W
06 Sept
Estadual W
0 : 2
Harpia W
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America ES W

(Away)
27 Sept
America ES W
1 : 4
Atletico Capixaba W
20 Sept
Estadual W
4 : 1
America ES W
13 Sept
America ES W
0 : 0
Vilavelhense W
06 Sept
MDE W
3 : 3
America ES W
23 Aug
America ES W
0 : 12
Prosperidade W
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Prosperidade W 6 6 0 0 40:1 18
2 Harpia W 6 3 1 2 13:10 10
3 Estadual W 6 3 1 2 11:12 10
4 Atletico Capixaba W 6 2 3 1 10:11 9
5 MDE W 6 2 2 2 12:18 8
6 America ES W 6 0 2 4 6:29 2
7 Vilavelhense W 6 0 1 5 4:15 1
Promotion - Capixaba Women (Play Offs)