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Estadual W vs Harpia W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

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Capixaba Women
Estadual W Logo

Estadual W

0 - 2
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Harpia W Logo

Harpia W

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Harpia W in this Capixaba Women matchup, with the score ending 0-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Harpia W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

48%
Estadual W
15%
Draws
37%
Harpia W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Estadual W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

48% / Medium Confidence
  • Estadual W have won more games recently than Harpia W.
  • 48% — that's where the model lands on Estadual W taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Estadual W have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Estadual W Clean Sheet 17%
Harpia W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Estadual W Harpia W
Matches Played 26 20
Wins 18 8
Draws 1 1
Losses 7 11
Goals Scored 3.08 1.75
Goals Conceded 1.5 2.4
Expected Goals (xG) 2.50 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 3, 2026 Capixaba Women
Estadual W vs Harpia W
3:0
Sep 6, 2026 Capixaba Women
Estadual W vs Harpia W
0:2
Aug 3, 2025 Capixaba Women
Harpia W vs Estadual W
0:2
Jul 7, 2024 Capixaba Women
Estadual W vs Harpia W
2:1
Jun 16, 2024 Capixaba Women
Harpia W vs Estadual W
1:5

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Estadual W 39 / 100
Harpia W 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Estadual W Harpia W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Estadual W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Estadual W scored in 92% of their last 26 outings.

Defensive concern: Harpia W conceded in 95% of 20 recent games.

H2H data points to 3.20 goals as a typical output.

Estadual W went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Estadual W VS Harpia W
3 Goals Scored 2
0.75 Goals Conceded 2
100% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Estadual W

(Home)
03 Oct
Estadual W
3 : 0
Harpia W
27 Sept
MDE W
1 : 3
Estadual W
20 Sept
Estadual W
4 : 1
America ES W
12 Sept
Prosperidade W
6 : 0
Estadual W
06 Sept
Estadual W
0 : 2
Harpia W
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Harpia W

(Away)
03 Oct
Estadual W
3 : 0
Harpia W
27 Sept
Prosperidade W
3 : 1
Harpia W
13 Sept
Harpia W
1 : 1
Atletico Capixaba W
06 Sept
Estadual W
0 : 2
Harpia W
30 Aug
Harpia W
3 : 2
Vilavelhense W
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Prosperidade W 6 6 0 0 40:1 18
2 Harpia W 6 3 1 2 13:10 10
3 Estadual W 6 3 1 2 11:12 10
4 Atletico Capixaba W 6 2 3 1 10:11 9
5 MDE W 6 2 2 2 12:18 8
6 America ES W 6 0 2 4 6:29 2
7 Vilavelhense W 6 0 1 5 4:15 1
Promotion - Capixaba Women (Play Offs)