Sport Picks

Portugal

Taça de Portugal 2016/2017

FC Pampilhosa

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Estarreja play FC Pampilhosa in the Taça de Portugal 2016/2017. It looks like a close match. Recently, Estarreja averaged 1.6 goals scored and 1.9 conceded. FC Pampilhosa averaged 0.83 goals scored and 1.83 conceded. In past meetings, Estarreja won 1, FC Pampilhosa won 0, and they drew 0. Their last match on Sep 4, 2016 ended 4:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.56 for Estarreja and 1.44 for FC Pampilhosa. This points to a Estarreja double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%

Estarreja

18%

Draws

32%

FC Pampilhosa

Draw rate projection: 18% Favored: Estarreja

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

77% / High Confidence

Estarreja picked up more points recently compared to FC Pampilhosa.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.56 vs 1.44 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 59%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 75%

Over 2.5 Goals 59%

Over 3.5 Goals 35%

Over 4.5 Goals 18%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 62%

Estarreja Clean Sheet 16%

FC Pampilhosa Clean Sheet 10%

First Half Goal 68%

Second Half Goal 71%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Estarreja	FC Pampilhosa
Matches Played	30	30
Wins	7	8
Draws	8	3
Losses	15	19
Goals Scored	1.6	0.83
Goals Conceded	1.9	1.83
Expected Goals (xG)	1.50	1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.63	1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 4, 2016 Taça de Portugal

Estarreja vs FC Pampilhosa

Possession: 49% - 51% Cards: 2 - 3

4:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Estarreja 48 / 100

FC Pampilhosa 31 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Estarreja FC Pampilhosa

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Estarreja or Draw (1X)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Home Win (HT)

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +19%

2.38

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +11.5%

1.89

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Estarreja attacking → ← attacking FC Pampilhosa

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Estarreja scored in 87% of their last 30 games.

FC Pampilhosa let in goals in 87% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 5.00 goals.

Estarreja went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

FC Pampilhosa lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

29 Points in last 5 27

1.50 Goals expected (xG) 1.25

1.63 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.63