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Este vs Bassano Virtus

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group C 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

47' Event
Caporello E.
69' Event
Fasolo G.
83' Event
Zupperdoni M.

AI Match Summary

Bassano Virtus in this Serie D - Group C 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Bassano Virtus.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
Este
30%
Draws
33%
Bassano Virtus
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Este

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Este have won more games recently than Bassano Virtus.
  • Model gives Este a 42% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
Este Clean Sheet 68%
Bassano Virtus Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Este Bassano Virtus
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 12 11
Draws 9 13
Losses 9 5
Goals Scored 1.07 1.21
Goals Conceded 0.9 0.69
Expected Goals (xG) 0.81 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 22, 2026 Serie D - Group C
Este vs Bassano Virtus
1:2
Nov 8, 2025 Serie D - Group C
Bassano Virtus vs Este
1:1
Mar 30, 2025 Serie D - Group C
Bassano Virtus vs Este
4:0
Nov 17, 2024 Serie D - Group C
Este vs Bassano Virtus
3:1
May 5, 2024 Serie D - Group C
Este vs Bassano Virtus
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Este Compare

Top Goalscorer Caporello E.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.62
Avg xA / game 0.41

Bassano Virtus Compare

Top Goalscorer Fasolo G.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Zupperdoni M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Este 51 / 100
Bassano Virtus 48 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Este Bassano Virtus

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Este scored in 67% of their last 30 outings.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Este has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Bassano Virtus let in goals in 59% of their last 29 matches.

Scoring Trends

Este VS Bassano Virtus
1 Goals Scored 1.63
1 Goals Conceded 0.63
75% Over 1.5 63%
25% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Este

(Home)
17 May
Clodiense
1 : 0
Este
03 May
Este
2 : 0
Luparense FC
26 Apr
Treviso
1 : 2
Este
17 Apr
Este
1 : 1
Clodiense
12 Apr
Legnago Salus
1 : 1
Este
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Bassano Virtus

(Away)
03 May
Bassano Virtus
0 : 1
Calvi Noale
26 Apr
Brian Lignano
1 : 1
Bassano Virtus
19 Apr
Bassano Virtus
1 : 0
Cjarlins Muzane
12 Apr
Campodarsego
1 : 0
Bassano Virtus
02 Apr
Portogruaro
1 : 4
Bassano Virtus
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Treviso 34 21 6 7 50:25 69
2 Legnago Salus 34 18 7 9 63:41 61
3 Clodiense 34 17 9 8 47:29 60
4 Este 34 14 13 7 40:29 55
5 Mestre 34 14 13 7 37:29 55
6 Cjarlins Muzane 34 13 12 9 41:39 51
7 Brian Lignano 34 16 8 10 58:34 50
8 Conegliano 34 13 11 10 36:28 50
9 Bassano Virtus 34 12 14 8 37:27 50
10 Campodarsego 34 13 9 12 37:34 48
11 Altavilla 34 10 16 8 28:24 46
12 Calvi Noale 34 13 5 16 38:40 44
13 Luparense FC 34 10 13 11 36:39 43
14 Vigasio 34 8 14 12 44:46 38
15 San Luigi 34 8 10 16 33:54 34
16 FC Obermais 34 8 10 16 33:46 34
17 Adriese 34 5 6 23 24:62 18
18 Portogruaro 34 1 8 25 25:81 11
Promotion - Serie D - Group C 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group C 2025/2026 (Play Out)
Relegation - Serie D - Group C 2025/2026 (Additional match)