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Este vs Mori

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group C 2023/2024
3 - 0
FT
Our Tip

Match Events

17' Event
Moscatelli L.
57' Event
Moscatelli L.
(Penalty)
80' Event
David O. M.

AI Match Summary

Este in this Serie D - Group C 2023/2024 matchup, with the score ending 3-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Este.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Este
15%
Draws
0%
Mori
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Este

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Este lately — more wins on the board than Mori.
  • Model gives Este a 85% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65.8%
Este Clean Sheet 20%
Mori Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Este Mori
Matches Played 33 30
Wins 15 2
Draws 7 6
Losses 11 22
Goals Scored 1.21 0.63
Goals Conceded 0.85 2.27
Expected Goals (xG) 0.97 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 7, 2024 Serie D - Group C
Este vs Mori
3:0
Nov 26, 2023 Serie D - Group C
Mori vs Este
0:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Este Compare

Top Goalscorer Moscatelli L.
1 Goals
Assists Leader David O. M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.75
Avg xA / game 0.48

Mori Compare

Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.42

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Este 85 / 100
Mori 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Este Mori

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Este Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Mori conceded in 83% of 30 recent games.

Difficult form: Mori registered 5 defeats in their last 5 games.

Este's goal record stands at 70% scoring rate across 33 recent games.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Este VS -
0.75 Goals Scored 0
0.5 Goals Conceded 0
38% Over 1.5 0%
13% Over 2.5 0%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Este

(Home)
16 Sept
Clodiense
1 : 0
Este
13 Sept
Este
0 : 1
FC Obermais
06 Sept
Brian Lignano
0 : 2
Este
17 May
Clodiense
1 : 0
Este
03 May
Este
2 : 0
Luparense FC
Page 1 of 7

Mori

(Away)
05 May
Portogruaro
9 : 0
Mori
28 Apr
Mori
0 : 2
Virtus Bolzano
21 Apr
Mestre
2 : 0
Mori
14 Apr
Mori
1 : 3
Cjarlins Muzane
07 Apr
Este
3 : 0
Mori
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Clodiense 34 25 5 4 49:17 80
2 Dolomiti Bellunesi 34 19 9 6 56:25 66
3 Treviso 34 19 3 12 51:37 60
4 Bassano Virtus 34 15 9 10 35:30 54
5 Campodarsego 34 12 15 7 42:26 51
6 Este 34 13 12 9 44:33 51
7 Montecchio Maggiore 34 14 9 11 48:40 51
8 Adriese 34 13 11 10 54:41 50
9 Portogruaro 34 13 9 12 52:43 48
10 Mestre 34 13 9 12 34:37 48
11 Montebelluna 34 11 12 11 35:41 45
12 Chions 34 10 11 13 40:50 41
13 Luparense FC 34 10 9 15 38:41 39
14 Breno 34 8 13 13 39:49 37
15 Cjarlins Muzane 34 7 14 13 30:37 35
16 Castegnato 34 7 12 15 39:58 33
17 Virtus Bolzano 34 4 12 18 25:52 24
18 Mori 34 3 6 25 22:76 15
Promotion - Serie D - Group C 2023/2024 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group C 2023/2024 (Play Out)