Sport Picks
Esteghlal Khuzestan vs Aluminium Arak - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Iran
Persian Gulf Pro League Ghadir Stadium, Ahvaz 
Match Events
11'
11'
Goudarzi B.
Assist: Kahrizi A.
90'
90'
Kahrizi A.
AI Match Summary
The Persian Gulf Pro League game between Esteghlal Khuzestan and Aluminium Arak finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Aluminium Arak.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
23%
35%
42%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Aluminium Arak
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
42%
/ Low Confidence
- Aluminium Arak carry the better recent record into this one.
- Model gives Aluminium Arak a 42% chance of winning this.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 50%
Over 2.5 Goals 21%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.200000000000003%
Esteghlal Khuzestan Clean Sheet 22%
Aluminium Arak Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Esteghlal Khuzestan | Aluminium Arak |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 26 | 25 |
| Wins | 5 | 6 |
| Draws | 8 | 11 |
| Losses | 13 | 8 |
| Goals Scored | 0.58 | 0.8 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.31 | 0.84 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.44 | 1.06 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 14, 2026 Persian Gulf Pro League
Esteghlal Khuzestan vs Aluminium Arak
0:2
Feb 1, 2026 Persian Gulf Pro League
Esteghlal Khuzestan vs Aluminium Arak
1:1
Sep 19, 2025 Persian Gulf Pro League
Aluminium Arak vs Esteghlal Khuzestan
2:0
Jan 20, 2025 Persian Gulf Pro League
Aluminium Arak vs Esteghlal Khuzestan
1:1
Aug 15, 2024 Persian Gulf Pro League
Esteghlal Khuzestan vs Aluminium Arak
0:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Esteghlal Khuzestan Compare
Avg xG / game 0.34
Avg xA / game 0.22
Aluminium Arak Compare
Top Goalscorer Goudarzi B.
1 Goals Assists Leader Kahrizi A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Esteghlal Khuzestan 29 / 100
Aluminium Arak 50 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Esteghlal Khuzestan Aluminium Arak
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Aluminium Arak Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Aluminium Arak's defensive record shows goals conceded in 60% of 25 matches.
H2H data points to 1.60 goals as a typical output.
Recent resilience: Esteghlal Khuzestan stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.
Esteghlal Khuzestan's goal record stands at 50% scoring rate across 26 recent games.
Scoring Trends
Esteghlal Khuzestan VS Aluminium Arak
0.5 Goals Scored 1
1.13 Goals Conceded 0.38
50% Over 1.5 50%
13% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Esteghlal Khuzestan
(Home) 08 Oct
Gol Gohar
3 : 0 Esteghlal Khuzestan
10 Sept
Esteghlal Khuzestan
1 : 0 Tractor
06 Sept
Sepahan
1 : 0 Esteghlal Khuzestan
01 Sept
Esteghlal Khuzestan
1 : 1 Chadormalu
28 Aug
Paykan
0 : 0 Esteghlal Khuzestan
Page 1 of 6
10 Sept
Esteghlal Khuzestan
1 : 0 Tractor
01 Sept
Esteghlal Khuzestan
1 : 1 Chadormalu
23 Aug
Esteghlal Khuzestan
1 : 1 Mazandaran
14 Aug
Esteghlal Khuzestan
0 : 2 Aluminium Arak
13 Feb
Esteghlal Khuzestan
1 : 0 Fajr Sepasi
Page 1 of 3
Aluminium Arak
(Away) 08 Oct
Aluminium Arak
1 : 1 Malavan
06 Sept
Aluminium Arak
0 : 0 Esteghlal TEH
01 Sept
Gol Gohar
0 : 2 Aluminium Arak
28 Aug
Aluminium Arak
2 : 2 Kheybar Khorramabad
23 Aug
Shams Azar Qazvin
1 : 2 Aluminium Arak
Page 1 of 5
01 Sept
Gol Gohar
0 : 2 Aluminium Arak
23 Aug
Shams Azar Qazvin
1 : 2 Aluminium Arak
14 Aug
Esteghlal Khuzestan
0 : 2 Aluminium Arak
13 Feb
Shams Azar Qazvin
0 : 0 Aluminium Arak
01 Feb
Esteghlal Khuzestan
1 : 1 Aluminium Arak
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tractor | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 9:2 | 17 |
| 2 | Persepolis | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 15:4 | 16 |
| 3 | Esteghlal TEH | 8 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 10:2 | 16 |
| 4 | Sepahan | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 11:5 | 13 |
| 5 | Aluminium Arak | 7 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 9:4 | 13 |
| 6 | Gol Gohar | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 10:7 | 13 |
| 7 | Foolad | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 7:4 | 12 |
| 8 | Paykan | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 6:7 | 9 |
| 9 | Mazandaran | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 5:7 | 9 |
| 10 | Chadormalu | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 6:11 | 9 |
| 11 | Malavan | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 6:9 | 8 |
| 12 | Kheybar Khorramabad | 7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 10:10 | 7 |
| 13 | Zob Ahan | 7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 4:6 | 7 |
| 14 | Fajr Sepasi | 7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 4:9 | 7 |
| 15 | Shams Azar Qazvin | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 7:10 | 6 |
| 16 | Esteghlal Khuzestan | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 4:12 | 6 |
| 17 | Mes Shahr Babak | 8 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 6:12 | 5 |
| 18 | Sanat Naft | 8 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 3:11 | 4 |
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 2027/2028 (Main)
Relegation - Azadegan League 2027/2028 (Main)
