Sport Picks
Esteghlal Khuzestan vs Shams Azar Qazvin - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Iran
Persian Gulf Pro League Ghadir Stadium, Ahvaz 
Match Events
33'
33'
Rostami A.
45'
45'
Rezaei M. A.
62'
62'
Zergani J.
Assist: Mohammadi O.
AI Match Summary
Esteghlal Khuzestan in this Persian Gulf Pro League matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Esteghlal Khuzestan.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
60%
20%
20%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Esteghlal Khuzestan
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
60%
/ High Confidence
- Esteghlal Khuzestan have won more games recently than Shams Azar Qazvin.
- Model gives Esteghlal Khuzestan a 60% chance of winning this.
- Regular Persian Gulf Pro League form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 25.200000000000003%
Esteghlal Khuzestan Clean Sheet 68%
Shams Azar Qazvin Clean Sheet 16%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Esteghlal Khuzestan | Shams Azar Qazvin |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 26 | 26 |
| Wins | 5 | 4 |
| Draws | 8 | 12 |
| Losses | 13 | 10 |
| Goals Scored | 0.62 | 0.65 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.27 | 0.92 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.94 | 1.19 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Oct 25, 2026 Persian Gulf Pro League
Esteghlal Khuzestan vs Shams Azar Qazvin
2:0
Jan 18, 2026 Persian Gulf Pro League
Shams Azar Qazvin vs Esteghlal Khuzestan
0:0
Aug 19, 2025 Persian Gulf Pro League
Esteghlal Khuzestan vs Shams Azar Qazvin
1:1
Feb 6, 2025 Persian Gulf Pro League
Esteghlal Khuzestan vs Shams Azar Qazvin
1:0
Sep 13, 2024 Persian Gulf Pro League
Shams Azar Qazvin vs Esteghlal Khuzestan
2:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Esteghlal Khuzestan Compare
Top Goalscorer Zergani J.
1 Goals Assists Leader Mousavi M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.72
Avg xA / game 0.47
Shams Azar Qazvin Compare
Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Esteghlal Khuzestan 50 / 100
Shams Azar Qazvin 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Esteghlal Khuzestan Shams Azar Qazvin
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Esteghlal Khuzestan Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Games between these two average 1.80 goals.
Shams Azar Qazvin's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.
Esteghlal Khuzestan found the back of the net in 54% of recent matches (26 games).
Shams Azar Qazvin has conceded goals in 54% of their last 26 outings.
Scoring Trends
Esteghlal Khuzestan VS Shams Azar Qazvin
0.63 Goals Scored 0.88
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.25
63% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Esteghlal Khuzestan
(Home) 25 Oct
Esteghlal Khuzestan
2 : 0 Shams Azar Qazvin
18 Oct
Kheybar Khorramabad
2 : 1 Esteghlal Khuzestan
08 Oct
Gol Gohar
3 : 0 Esteghlal Khuzestan
10 Sept
Esteghlal Khuzestan
1 : 0 Tractor
06 Sept
Sepahan
1 : 0 Esteghlal Khuzestan
Page 1 of 6
25 Oct
Esteghlal Khuzestan
2 : 0 Shams Azar Qazvin
10 Sept
Esteghlal Khuzestan
1 : 0 Tractor
01 Sept
Esteghlal Khuzestan
1 : 1 Chadormalu
23 Aug
Esteghlal Khuzestan
1 : 1 Mazandaran
14 Aug
Esteghlal Khuzestan
0 : 2 Aluminium Arak
Page 1 of 3
Shams Azar Qazvin
(Away) 25 Oct
Esteghlal Khuzestan
2 : 0 Shams Azar Qazvin
18 Oct
Shams Azar Qazvin
0 : 0 Sepahan
10 Oct
Paykan
1 : 1 Shams Azar Qazvin
10 Sept
Shams Azar Qazvin
2 : 3 Gol Gohar
06 Sept
Chadormalu
1 : 0 Shams Azar Qazvin
Page 1 of 6
25 Oct
Esteghlal Khuzestan
2 : 0 Shams Azar Qazvin
10 Oct
Paykan
1 : 1 Shams Azar Qazvin
06 Sept
Chadormalu
1 : 0 Shams Azar Qazvin
28 Aug
Mazandaran
0 : 2 Shams Azar Qazvin
19 Aug
Foolad
1 : 1 Shams Azar Qazvin
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Persepolis | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 18:5 | 20 |
| 2 | Sepahan | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 17:6 | 20 |
| 3 | Tractor | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 12:2 | 20 |
| 4 | Esteghlal TEH | 10 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 12:3 | 20 |
| 5 | Foolad | 10 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 10:5 | 19 |
| 6 | Aluminium Arak | 10 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 11:8 | 14 |
| 7 | Kheybar Khorramabad | 10 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 13:11 | 14 |
| 8 | Fajr Sepasi | 10 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 10:12 | 14 |
| 9 | Gol Gohar | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 10:9 | 13 |
| 10 | Chadormalu | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 9:13 | 13 |
| 11 | Mazandaran | 10 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 7:9 | 11 |
| 12 | Paykan | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 7:10 | 10 |
| 13 | Malavan | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 8:12 | 9 |
| 14 | Esteghlal Khuzestan | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 7:14 | 9 |
| 15 | Zob Ahan | 10 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 6:10 | 8 |
| 16 | Shams Azar Qazvin | 10 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 7:12 | 7 |
| 17 | Sanat Naft | 10 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 5:15 | 7 |
| 18 | Mes Shahr Babak | 10 | 0 | 5 | 5 | 6:19 | 5 |
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 2027/2028 (Main)
Relegation - Azadegan League 2027/2028 (Main)
