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Stadium Background

Esteghlal Khuzestan vs Zob Ahan

Iran Iran

Persian Gulf Pro League Ghadir Stadium
Our Tip

Match Events

10'
Rostami A.
14'
Mokhtari P.
45' Event
Ahmadi H.
Assist: Bouhamdan H.

AI Match Summary

The Persian Gulf Pro League game between Esteghlal Khuzestan and Zob Ahan finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Esteghlal Khuzestan.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Esteghlal Khuzestan
33%
Draws
27%
Zob Ahan
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Esteghlal Khuzestan

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Zob Ahan have managed 0.38 goals a game lately — Esteghlal Khuzestan are scoring more at 0.5.
  • Esteghlal Khuzestan are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • Regular Persian Gulf Pro League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 22%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 24.8%
Esteghlal Khuzestan Clean Sheet 68%
Zob Ahan Clean Sheet 21%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Esteghlal Khuzestan Zob Ahan
Matches Played 27 27
Wins 6 6
Draws 8 11
Losses 13 10
Goals Scored 0.5 0.38
Goals Conceded 0.63 0.75
Expected Goals (xG) 0.50 0.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.63 0.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Dec 25, 2025 Persian Gulf Pro League
Esteghlal Khuzestan vs Zob Ahan
2:0
Apr 17, 2025 Persian Gulf Pro League
Zob Ahan vs Esteghlal Khuzestan
1:0
Dec 10, 2024 Persian Gulf Pro League
Esteghlal Khuzestan vs Zob Ahan
0:0
Mar 13, 2024 Persian Gulf Pro League
Zob Ahan vs Esteghlal Khuzestan
0:2
Sep 21, 2023 Persian Gulf Pro League
Esteghlal Khuzestan vs Zob Ahan
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Esteghlal Khuzestan Compare

Top Goalscorer Ahmadi H.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Jalalivand A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.38
Avg xA / game 0.25

Zob Ahan Compare

Avg xG / game 0.35
Avg xA / game 0.21

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Esteghlal Khuzestan 50 / 100
Zob Ahan 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Esteghlal Khuzestan Zob Ahan

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick EST Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Zob Ahan's defensive record shows goals conceded in 63% of 27 matches.

H2H data points to 1.60 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Esteghlal Khuzestan stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Esteghlal Khuzestan scored in 56% of their last 27 games.

Scoring Trends

Esteghlal Khuzestan VS Zob Ahan
0.5 Goals Scored 0.38
0.63 Goals Conceded 0.75
25% Over 1.5 38%
13% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Esteghlal TEH22118329:1641
2Tractor22109330:1239
3Sepahan22116524:1339
4Gol Gohar23106724:2436
5Chadormalu2298527:1935
6Persepolis2297623:1934
7Foolad22710521:1631
8Fajr Sepasi2386925:2730
9Kheybar Khorramabad2378822:2429
10Malavan2278713:2129
11Esteghlal Khuzestan2267916:2325
12Paykan2359915:2124
13Shams Azar Qazvin23313715:1922
14Aluminium Arak22571014:2122
15Zob Ahan21310812:1919
16Mes Rafsanjan22361313:2915