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Esteghlal TEH vs Gol Gohar Prediction & H2H Stats

Iran Iran

Persian Gulf Pro League 2025/2026 Azadi Stadium, Tehran
Esteghlal TEH Logo

Esteghlal TEH

0 - 1
FT
Gol Gohar Logo

Gol Gohar

Our Tip

Match Events

3'
Jafari A.
37' Event
Shahrabadi P.
Assist: Jafari A.
54'
Sub
Razzaghinia A. In: Koushki A.
Out: Razzaghinia A.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Gol Gohar in this Persian Gulf Pro League 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Gol Gohar.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

45%
Esteghlal TEH
35%
Draws
20%
Gol Gohar
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Esteghlal TEH

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

45% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Esteghlal TEH lately — more wins on the board than Gol Gohar.
  • Model gives Esteghlal TEH a 45% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Persian Gulf Pro League 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 44%
Over 2.5 Goals 22%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 24.4%
Esteghlal TEH Clean Sheet 68%
Gol Gohar Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Esteghlal TEH Gol Gohar
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 16 12
Draws 8 7
Losses 4 10
Goals Scored 1.43 0.93
Goals Conceded 0.5 1.03
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 0.51
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Dec 28, 2025 Persian Gulf Pro League
Esteghlal TEH vs Gol Gohar
0:1
Apr 16, 2025 Persian Gulf Pro League
Gol Gohar vs Esteghlal TEH
1:1
Dec 16, 2024 Persian Gulf Pro League
Esteghlal TEH vs Gol Gohar
0:0
May 28, 2024 Persian Gulf Pro League
Esteghlal TEH vs Gol Gohar
1:0
Dec 24, 2023 Persian Gulf Pro League
Gol Gohar vs Esteghlal TEH
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Esteghlal TEH Compare

Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.53

Gol Gohar Compare

Top Goalscorer Shahrabadi P.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.46
Avg xA / game 0.28

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Esteghlal TEH 95 / 100
Gol Gohar 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Esteghlal TEH Gol Gohar

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Esteghlal TEH Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Esteghlal TEH has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Esteghlal TEH found the back of the net in 71% of recent matches (28 games).

Away concern: Gol Gohar has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Gol Gohar has conceded goals in 55% of their last 29 outings.

Scoring Trends

Esteghlal TEH VS Gol Gohar
1.13 Goals Scored 0.88
0.13 Goals Conceded 1
38% Over 1.5 50%
13% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Esteghlal TEH

(Home)
14 Sept
Esteghlal TEH
3 : 0
Al Sadd
10 Sept
Esteghlal TEH
1 : 0
Paykan
06 Sept
Aluminium Arak
0 : 0
Esteghlal TEH
02 Sept
Esteghlal TEH
1 : 1
Persepolis
28 Aug
Foolad
0 : 0
Esteghlal TEH
Page 1 of 6

Gol Gohar

(Away)
15 Sept
Gol Gohar
0 : 0
Al Jazira
10 Sept
Shams Azar Qazvin
2 : 3
Gol Gohar
05 Sept
Tractor
1 : 0
Gol Gohar
01 Sept
Gol Gohar
0 : 2
Aluminium Arak
28 Aug
Sepahan
2 : 0
Gol Gohar
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Esteghlal TEH 22 11 8 3 29:16 41
2 Tractor 22 10 9 3 30:12 39
3 Sepahan 22 11 6 5 24:13 39
4 Gol Gohar 23 10 6 7 24:24 36
5 Chadormalu 22 9 8 5 27:19 35
6 Persepolis 22 9 7 6 23:19 34
7 Foolad 22 7 10 5 21:16 31
8 Fajr Sepasi 23 8 6 9 25:27 30
9 Kheybar Khorramabad 23 7 8 8 22:24 29
10 Malavan 22 7 8 7 13:21 29
11 Esteghlal Khuzestan 22 6 7 9 16:23 25
12 Paykan 23 5 9 9 15:21 24
13 Shams Azar Qazvin 23 3 13 7 15:19 22
14 Aluminium Arak 22 5 7 10 14:21 22
15 Zob Ahan 21 3 10 8 12:19 19
16 Mes Rafsanjan 22 3 6 13 13:29 15
Promotion - AFC Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - AFC Champions League (Qualification)
Relegation - Persian Gulf Pro League 2025/2026 (Relegation)