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Esteli vs Diriangen

Nicaragua Nicaragua

Liga Primera
Our Tip

Match Events

6' Event
Tellez E.
74' Event
Salinas R.

AI Match Summary

The Liga Primera game between Esteli and Diriangen finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Diriangen.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Esteli
15%
Draws
34%
Diriangen
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Esteli

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Diriangen come out ahead of Esteli on wins alone.
  • 51% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Liga Primera form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.6%
Esteli Clean Sheet 68%
Diriangen Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Esteli Diriangen
Matches Played 36 39
Wins 23 24
Draws 8 7
Losses 5 8
Goals Scored 1.86 2
Goals Conceded 0.86 1.05
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 23, 2026 Liga Primera
Esteli vs Diriangen
0:2
May 17, 2026 Liga Primera
Diriangen vs Esteli
1:2
May 10, 2026 Liga Primera
Esteli vs Diriangen
1:1
Apr 12, 2026 Liga Primera
Diriangen vs Esteli
1:0
Feb 12, 2026 Liga Primera
Esteli vs Diriangen
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Esteli Compare

Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.78

Diriangen Compare

Top Goalscorer Tellez E.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Salinas R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Esteli 41 / 100
Diriangen 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Esteli Diriangen

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Esteli Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Esteli scored in 81% of their last 36 outings.

Diriangen has conceded goals in 67% of their last 39 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Away concern: Diriangen has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Esteli VS Diriangen
1.5 Goals Scored 1.25
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.63
75% Over 1.5 88%
25% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Esteli

(Home)
23 Aug
Esteli
0 : 2
Diriangen
19 Aug
Esteli
0 : 2
Herediano
12 Aug
Esteli
3 : 1
Alianza FC
08 Aug
Esteli
4 : 1
Walter Ferreti
05 Aug
Antigua
0 : 2
Esteli
Page 1 of 8

Diriangen

(Away)
23 Aug
Esteli
0 : 2
Diriangen
19 Aug
Xelaju
2 : 0
Diriangen
14 Aug
Luis Angel Firpo
4 : 0
Diriangen
09 Aug
Diriangen
2 : 1
Rancho Santana
05 Aug
Diriangen
1 : 3
Alajuelense
Page 1 of 8

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Diriangen 6 5 1 0 13:3 16
2 Managua FC 5 5 0 0 18:3 15
3 UNAN-Managua 6 4 2 0 8:3 14
4 Esteli 5 3 1 1 8:4 10
5 Sport Sebaco 5 3 1 1 7:7 10
6 Walter Ferreti 6 2 0 4 9:11 6
7 Matagalpa 7 2 0 5 3:13 6
8 San Marcos 6 1 1 4 4:11 4
9 Rancho Santana 7 1 0 6 5:12 3
10 Jalapa 7 1 0 6 2:10 3
Promotion - Liga Primera (Apertura - Winners)
Promotion - Liga Primera (Apertura - Winners)