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Esteli vs Diriangen - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Nicaragua Nicaragua

Liga Primera
Our Tip

Match Events

6' Event
Tellez E.
74' Event
Salinas R.

AI Match Summary

The Liga Primera game between Esteli and Diriangen finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Diriangen.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

24%
Esteli
20%
Draws
56%
Diriangen
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Diriangen

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

56% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Diriangen come out ahead of Esteli on wins alone.
  • 56% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Liga Primera form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34%
Esteli Clean Sheet 13%
Diriangen Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Esteli Diriangen
Matches Played 35 37
Wins 20 23
Draws 8 5
Losses 7 9
Goals Scored 1.77 2.05
Goals Conceded 0.91 1.24
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 23, 2026 Liga Primera
Esteli vs Diriangen
0:2
May 17, 2026 Liga Primera
Diriangen vs Esteli
1:2
May 10, 2026 Liga Primera
Esteli vs Diriangen
1:1
Apr 12, 2026 Liga Primera
Diriangen vs Esteli
1:0
Feb 12, 2026 Liga Primera
Esteli vs Diriangen
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Esteli Compare

Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Diriangen Compare

Top Goalscorer Tellez E.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Salinas R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 0.94

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Esteli 35 / 100
Diriangen 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Esteli Diriangen

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Diriangen Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Esteli scored in 77% of their last 35 outings.

Diriangen has conceded goals in 70% of their last 37 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Solid form: Esteli remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Esteli VS Diriangen
1.63 Goals Scored 2.25
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.13
88% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Esteli

(Home)
18 Oct
Walter Ferreti
3 : 1
Esteli
16 Oct
Esteli
1 : 1
Jalapa
11 Oct
Matagalpa
1 : 4
Esteli
08 Oct
UNAN-Managua
1 : 0
Esteli
11 Sept
Managua FC
1 : 1
Esteli
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Diriangen

(Away)
19 Oct
Rancho Santana
0 : 1
Diriangen
14 Oct
UNAN-Managua
1 : 3
Diriangen
11 Oct
Diriangen
2 : 4
Walter Ferreti
07 Oct
San Marcos
1 : 2
Diriangen
10 Sept
Sport Sebaco
0 : 1
Diriangen
Page 1 of 8

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Managua FC 13 11 2 0 41:13 35
2 Diriangen 13 10 2 1 28:12 32
3 UNAN-Managua 13 7 3 3 17:13 24
4 Esteli 13 6 4 3 23:12 22
5 Walter Ferreti 13 5 2 6 26:22 17
6 Sport Sebaco 12 5 2 5 14:21 17
7 San Marcos 13 3 1 9 13:24 10
8 Jalapa 13 2 3 8 11:19 9
9 Matagalpa 12 3 0 9 7:29 9
10 Rancho Santana 13 1 3 9 9:24 6
Promotion - Liga Primera (Apertura - Winners)
Promotion - Liga Primera (Apertura - Winners)