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Esteli vs Xilotepelt

Nicaragua Nicaragua

Primera Division 2010/2011
Esteli Logo

Esteli

2 - 2
FT
Xilotepelt Logo

Xilotepelt

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Primera Division 2010/2011 matchup, with the score ending 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

62%
Esteli
30%
Draws
8%
Xilotepelt
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Esteli

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

62% / High Confidence
  • Esteli have won more games recently than Xilotepelt.
  • Model gives Esteli a 62% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Primera Division 2010/2011 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Esteli here — 5 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.4%
Esteli Clean Sheet 20%
Xilotepelt Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Esteli Xilotepelt
Matches Played 35 30
Wins 22 5
Draws 8 8
Losses 5 17
Goals Scored 2.11 0.87
Goals Conceded 0.86 2.07
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 11, 2026 Copa Primera
Esteli vs Xilotepelt
2:0
Jul 4, 2026 Copa Primera
Xilotepelt vs Esteli
0:1
Apr 11, 2013 Liga Primera
Esteli vs Xilotepelt
12:0
Feb 20, 2013 Liga Primera
Xilotepelt vs Esteli
0:2
Oct 3, 2012 Liga Primera
Esteli vs Xilotepelt
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Esteli 85 / 100
Xilotepelt 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Esteli Xilotepelt

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Esteli Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Esteli scored in 83% of their last 35 outings.

Games between these two average 3.80 goals.

Xilotepelt's defensive record shows goals conceded in 77% of 30 matches.

Esteli has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Esteli VS Xilotepelt
1.25 Goals Scored 0
0.5 Goals Conceded 1.5
63% Over 1.5 50%
25% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Esteli

(Home)
11 Sept
Managua FC
1 : 1
Esteli
06 Sept
Rancho Santana
1 : 1
Esteli
03 Sept
Esteli
2 : 0
San Marcos
30 Aug
Sport Sebaco
0 : 5
Esteli
27 Aug
Marathon
3 : 0
Esteli
Page 1 of 7

Xilotepelt

(Away)
11 Jul
Esteli
2 : 0
Xilotepelt
04 Jul
Xilotepelt
0 : 1
Esteli
27 Apr
Xilotepelt
3 : 5
Juventus FC
21 Apr
Ocotal
3 : 1
Xilotepelt
14 Apr
Xilotepelt
0 : 0
Chinandega
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Esteli 14 8 4 2 22:11 28
2 Diriangen 14 7 3 4 23:16 24
3 Walter Ferreti 14 7 1 6 18:14 22
4 Ocotal 14 6 3 5 24:26 21
5 Diablos Rojos America 14 6 2 6 24:21 20
6 Managua FC 14 5 2 7 19:20 17
7 Xilotepelt 14 3 5 6 21:29 14
8 Real Madriz 14 1 6 7 11:25 9
Promotion - Primera Division 2015/2016 (Clausura - Play Offs)
Promotion - Primera Division 2015/2016 (Clausura - Play Offs)
Promotion - Primera Division 2015/2016 (Clausura - Play Offs)
Promotion - Primera Division 2015/2016 (Clausura - Play Offs)