Sport Picks

Estonia

Estonian Cup 2021/2022

FC Ararat

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

A one-off knockout match in the Estonian Cup 2021/2022. Neither defense has been convincing lately, which should mean goals. FC Ararat have shipped 3.5 goals a game lately, while Eston Villa II have conceded 4.8 and scored 0.8. Head-to-head, Eston Villa II have won 0 to FC Ararat's 0, with 1 draws. They last met on Jul 10, 2021, ending 0:0. Model xG sits at 3.02 vs 2.90, favoring Eston Villa II. Over 2.5 looks the sharpest market angle here.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%

Eston Villa II

15%

Draws

51%

FC Ararat

Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: FC Ararat

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence

FC Ararat carry the better recent record into this one.
Win probability leans FC Ararat's way, sitting at 90%.
FC Ararat arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 47.5%

Over 4.5 Goals 21%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%

Eston Villa II Clean Sheet 10%

FC Ararat Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Eston Villa II	FC Ararat
Matches Played	5	30
Wins	2	6
Draws	0	4
Losses	3	20
Goals Scored	0.8	1.53
Goals Conceded	4.8	3.5
Expected Goals (xG)	3.02	2.90
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.10	1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 10, 2021 Estonian Cup

Eston Villa II vs FC Ararat

0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Eston Villa II 10 / 100

FC Ararat 83 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Eston Villa II FC Ararat

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FC Ararat Win (2)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes

Correct Score 1:2

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: FC Ararat conceded in 93% of 28 recent games.

Eston Villa II scored in 50% of their last 4 games.

These sides typically produce 0.00 goals when they meet.

Eston Villa II has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Eston Villa II VS FC Ararat

0.8 Goals Scored 1

4.8 Goals Conceded 5.25

60% Over 1.5 88%

60% Over 2.5 88%

20% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Eston Villa II

(Home)

10 Jul

Eston Villa II

FC Ararat

29 Jul

Raplamaa

3 : 0

Eston Villa II

22 Oct

Narva

21 : 0

Eston Villa II

09 Oct

Eston Villa II

3 : 0

Otepaa

01 Aug

Loo JK

0 : 1

Eston Villa II

FC Ararat

(Away)

28 Aug

Parnu JK Vaprus

10 : 0

FC Ararat

30 Jul

Tallinna Smsraha

1 : 3

FC Ararat

25 Aug

FC Ararat

2 : 3

Vastseliina Tannem

10 Jul

Eston Villa II

FC Ararat

10 Jul

EstHam United

0 : 6

FC Ararat

Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Scroll horizontally to view stages →

1/64-finals

Viimsi Lovid 0

Flora U19 3

Rumori Calcio II 1

FCP Parnu 4

TBD -

Flora -

Zenit Tallinn 4

Tallinna Kalev U21 2

TBD -

Paide Linnameeskond III -

Valga Warrior -

FCT Titans -

Kristiine 5

Jogeva Wolves 3

Kose 0

Maksatransport 2

Raplamaa 15

Wolfram 0

TBD -

Levadia -

Kadakas 3

TransferWise 4

TBD -

Tallinna Kalev -

Tabasalu II -

TBD -

Jarva-Jaani 5

Kusti 4

Rumori Calcio -

TBD -

Laanemaa Haapsalu -

Legion -

TBD -

Soccernet -

Elva 3

Helm 0

Tallinna Wolves 1

JK Jalgpallihaigla 5

Viimsi JK 3

Parnu JK Vaprus 1

TBD -

ReUnited -

Loo JK 4

FC Alliance U21 2

TBD -

FC Tallinn -

TBD -

Paide Linnameeskond -

FCI Tallinn 8

FC Hell Hunt 0

TBD -

Parnu Sadam -

Flora Tallinn U21 -

TBD -

Karskem Karsklus -

Narva -

HF Beer -

FC Alliance 10

Tartu JK Welco 2 1

Maardu Aliens -

TBD -

Eston Villa -

Helios -

TBD -

Rakvere 3

Puhkus Mehhikos 1

Kohvile 7

Young FC 4

TBD -

Tartu JK Welco -

Saku Sporting -

TBD -

Tammeka Tartu -

JK Poseidon -

TBD -

Kuressaare -

Tartu Kalev -

TBD -

Laanemaa Haapsalu II 11

Aksi Wolves 1

Nomme Utd -

Jogeva -

Marjamaa Kompanii 4

Imavere Forss 5

Tulevik 26

Lelle 0

Olympic Tallinn 2

Hiiumaa 1

Tulevik U21 -

Tallinn Piraaja -

TBD -

Ganvix Turi -

Tallinna FC Zapoos -

TBD -

Johvi Phoenix -

Kalju -

TBD -

Mulgi 3

JK 32. keskkool 1

EstHam United -

TBD -

Eston Villa II -

FC Ararat -

Vastseliina Tannem 4

Teleios 0

TBD -

Pohja-Tallinna -

Parnu -

TBD -

Legion U21 5

Annelinna Ajax 2

Tabasalu -

TBD -

Arukula Vigri -

1/32-finals

Flora U19 12

FCP Parnu 0

TBD -

Flora -

Zenit Tallinn 1

Paide Linnameeskond III 4

Valga Warrior 1

Kristiine 4

Maksatransport 1

Raplamaa 3

TBD -

Levadia -

TransferWise 2

Tallinna Kalev 9

Tabasalu II 6

Jarva-Jaani 0

Rumori Calcio 0

Laanemaa Haapsalu 7

Legion 21

Soccernet 0

Elva 13

JK Jalgpallihaigla 1

Viimsi JK -

ReUnited -

Loo JK 2

FC Tallinn 3

TBD -

Paide Linnameeskond -

FCI Tallinn 8

Parnu Sadam 1

Flora Tallinn U21 24

Karskem Karsklus 0

Narva 5

FC Alliance 0

Maardu Aliens 2

Eston Villa 3

Helios 3

Rakvere 1

Kohvile 1

Tartu JK Welco 2

Saku Sporting 0

Tammeka Tartu 9

JK Poseidon 0

Kuressaare 9

Tartu Kalev 10

Laanemaa Haapsalu II 0

Nomme Utd -

Imavere Forss -

Tulevik -

Olympic Tallinn -

Tulevik U21 4

Ganvix Turi 0

Tallinna FC Zapoos 2

Johvi Phoenix 0

Kalju 32

Mulgi 0

EstHam United 0

FC Ararat 6

Vastseliina Tannem -

Pohja-Tallinna -

Parnu 2

Legion U21 0

Tabasalu 11

Arukula Vigri 1

1/16-finals

Flora U19 0

Flora 14

Paide Linnameeskond III 5

Kristiine 0

Raplamaa 0

Levadia 5

Tallinna Kalev 3

Tabasalu II 0

Laanemaa Haapsalu 2

Legion 8

Elva 2

Viimsi JK 0

FC Tallinn 1

Paide Linnameeskond 4

FCI Tallinn 2

Flora Tallinn U21 3

Narva 3

Eston Villa 0

Helios 0

Tartu JK Welco 3

Tammeka Tartu 3

Kuressaare 1

Tartu Kalev 4

Nomme Utd 2

Tulevik 10

Tulevik U21 0

Tallinna FC Zapoos 1

Kalju 9

FC Ararat 2

Vastseliina Tannem 3

Parnu 0

Tabasalu 1

1/8-finals

Flora -

Paide Linnameeskond III -

Levadia 3

Tallinna Kalev 0

Legion -

Elva -

Paide Linnameeskond 14

Flora Tallinn U21 0

Narva 3

Tartu JK Welco 0

Tammeka Tartu 3

Tartu Kalev 0

Tulevik 1

Kalju 3

Vastseliina Tannem -

Tabasalu -

Quarter-finals

Flora 2

Levadia 0

Legion 0

Paide Linnameeskond 2

Narva 2

Tammeka Tartu 0

Kalju 7

Tabasalu 0

Semi-finals

Flora 0

Paide Linnameeskond 1

Narva 0

Kalju 1

Final

Paide Linnameeskond 1

Kalju 0

Eston Villa II vs FC Ararat

Estonia

Eston Villa II

FC Ararat

AI Match Summary

Win Probability Meter

Model Confidence

Goal Probability Engine

Recent Team Form Analysis

H2H

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Attack & Defence Capability Index

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Scoring Trends

Recent Form & Match History

Eston Villa II

FC Ararat

Tournament Bracket & Draw

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