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Eston Villa vs Kohtla-Jarve JK Jarve U21

Estonia Estonia

Estonian Cup 2020/2021
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Eston Villa play Kohtla-Jarve JK Jarve U21 in the Estonian Cup 2020/2021. Kohtla-Jarve JK Jarve U21 are favorites here. Recently, Eston Villa averaged 1.97 goals scored and 3.37 conceded. Kohtla-Jarve JK Jarve U21 averaged 0 goals scored and 6 conceded. In past meetings, Eston Villa won 1, Kohtla-Jarve JK Jarve U21 won 0, and they drew 0. Their last match on Sep 2, 2020 ended 6:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.20 for Eston Villa and 1.00 for Kohtla-Jarve JK Jarve U21. This points to a Kohtla-Jarve JK Jarve U21 double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

15%
Eston Villa
25%
Draws
60%
Kohtla-Jarve JK Jarve U21
Draw rate projection: 25% Favored: Kohtla-Jarve JK Jarve U21

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

91% / Very High Confidence
  • Eston Villa picked up more points recently compared to Kohtla-Jarve JK Jarve U21.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.20 vs 1.00 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 84%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 97%
Over 2.5 Goals 84%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 42%
Eston Villa Clean Sheet 23%
Kohtla-Jarve JK Jarve U21 Clean Sheet 12%
First Half Goal 87%
Second Half Goal 92%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Eston Villa Kohtla-Jarve JK Jarve U21
Matches Played 30 1
Wins 12 0
Draws 0 0
Losses 18 1
Goals Scored 1.97 0
Goals Conceded 3.37 6
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.13 6.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 2, 2020 Estonian Cup
Eston Villa vs Kohtla-Jarve JK Jarve U21
6:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Eston Villa 18 / 100
Kohtla-Jarve JK Jarve U21 56 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Eston Villa Kohtla-Jarve JK Jarve U21

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Kohtla-Jarve JK Jarve U21 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Kohtla-Jarve JK Jarve U21 & Over 2.5
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +114.3%
14.29
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +7.5%
1.28
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Eston Villa attacking → ← attacking Kohtla-Jarve JK Jarve U21

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Eston Villa scored in 69% of their last 29 games.

Kohtla-Jarve JK Jarve U21 let in goals in 100% of their last 1 matches.

Games between these two average 6.00 goals.

Eston Villa went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Kohtla-Jarve JK Jarve U21 lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

36 Points in last 5 0
3.63 Goals expected (xG) 0.00
2.13 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 6.00