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Eston Villa vs Marjamaa Kompanii - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Estonia Estonia

Estonian Cup 2023/2024
Eston Villa Logo

Eston Villa

3 - 0
FT
Marjamaa Kompanii Logo

Marjamaa Kompanii

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Eston Villa in this Estonian Cup 2023/2024 tie, finishing 3-0. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Eston Villa
15%
Draws
57%
Marjamaa Kompanii
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Marjamaa Kompanii

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Eston Villa have won more games recently than Marjamaa Kompanii.
  • Model gives Marjamaa Kompanii a 57% chance of winning this.
  • Eston Villa have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Eston Villa, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 88%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 88%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Eston Villa Clean Sheet 10%
Marjamaa Kompanii Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Eston Villa Marjamaa Kompanii
Matches Played 30 17
Wins 12 8
Draws 0 0
Losses 18 9
Goals Scored 1.97 3.06
Goals Conceded 3.37 3.59
Expected Goals (xG) 3.25 2.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 21, 2023 Estonian Cup
Eston Villa vs Marjamaa Kompanii
3:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Eston Villa 10 / 100
Marjamaa Kompanii 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Eston Villa Marjamaa Kompanii

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Marjamaa Kompanii Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Marjamaa Kompanii let in goals in 88% of their last 17 matches.

Eston Villa's goal record stands at 69% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Marjamaa Kompanii lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Eston Villa VS Marjamaa Kompanii
2 Goals Scored 1.75
2.75 Goals Conceded 4.5
100% Over 1.5 100%
88% Over 2.5 88%
50% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Eston Villa

(Home)
26 Jul
Tabasalu Ulasabat
13 : 0
Eston Villa
31 Jul
Kalju
11 : 1
Eston Villa
22 Aug
Nomme Utd
11 : 1
Eston Villa
21 Jun
Eston Villa
3 : 0
Marjamaa Kompanii
29 Jun
FCI Tallinn
3 : 1
Eston Villa
Page 1 of 6

Marjamaa Kompanii

(Away)
11 Aug
Narva
8 : 0
Marjamaa Kompanii
21 Jul
Marjamaa Kompanii
8 : 4
Generation Tallinn
31 Jul
Saku Sporting
3 : 2
Marjamaa Kompanii
10 Jun
Marjamaa Kompanii
4 : 0
Kubik
27 Aug
Marjamaa Kompanii
0 : 2
Tabasalu
Page 1 of 4

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/64-finals
Tartu JK Welco 2 -
TBD -
Tartu Kalev 9
FC Sssolutions 0
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Levadia -
Tallinna Kalev III 0
Legion 10
TBD -
Johvi Phoenix -
Tammeka Tartu -
TBD -
TBD -
Imavere Forss -
Flora -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Parnu JK Vaprus -
TBD -
TBD -
FC Alliance -
Elva -
TBD -
TBD -
Saue JK Laagri -
Tervis Parnu -
TBD -
TBD -
FCP Parnu -
Maksatransport -
TBD -
TBD -
Loo JK -
Raplamaa -
TBD -
TBD -
Laanemaa Haapsalu -
Valga Warrior -
TBD -
TBD -
JK Poseidon -
Arukula Vigri -
TBD -
TBD -
Flora IV -
Maardu Aliens -
TBD -
TBD -
FC Tallinn -
Kristiine 2
Kohvile 3
Viimsi JK 4
Paide Linnameeskond III 0
Narva -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Pohja-Tallinna 2
Rumori Calcio 4
Zenit Tallinn 3
Hiiumaa 1
Tallinna Gorillad -
TBD -
TBD -
Tabasalu -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Paide Linnameeskond -
Helm -
TBD -
TBD -
Parnu -
Saku Sporting -
TBD -
TBD -
Tallinna Kalev U21 -
Jogeva Wolves 0
Kuressaare 8
TBD -
Jarva-Jaani -
Sillamae Silmet -
TBD -
TBD -
Kose -
Flora Tallinn U21 -
TBD -
Keila JK 11
JK Jalgpallihaigla 0
Legion II -
TBD -
TBD -
Soccernet -
Kalju -
TBD -
Tabasalu Ulasabat 4
Flora U19 0
TransferWise 1
Tallinna Wolves 0
TBD -
Tulevik -
Rumori Calcio II -
TBD -
TBD -
Olympic Tallinn -
Harju JK Laagri -
TBD -
TBD -
Pelgu City -
Tallinna FC Zapoos -
TBD -
TBD -
Vandra Vaprus -
Tartu JK Welco -
TBD -
Tallinna Kalev 20
Vana Hea Puur 0
Drakon 0
Nomme Utd 12
TBD -
Tallinn Piraaja -
Eston Villa -
TBD -
TBD -
Marjamaa Kompanii -
1/32-finals
Tartu JK Welco 2 2
Tartu Kalev 3
TBD -
Levadia -
Legion 3
Johvi Phoenix 0
Tammeka Tartu -
Imavere Forss -
Flora -
TBD -
Parnu JK Vaprus 6
FC Alliance 1
Elva 1
Saue JK Laagri 0
Tervis Parnu 8
FCP Parnu 3
Maksatransport 5
Loo JK 1
Raplamaa 1
Laanemaa Haapsalu 5
Valga Warrior 1
JK Poseidon 6
Arukula Vigri 3
Flora IV 2
Maardu Aliens -
FC Tallinn -
Kohvile 0
Viimsi JK 3
Narva -
TBD -
Rumori Calcio 3
Zenit Tallinn 8
Tallinna Gorillad 0
Tabasalu 16
TBD -
Paide Linnameeskond -
Helm 2
Parnu 0
Saku Sporting 2
Tallinna Kalev U21 3
Kuressaare -
Jarva-Jaani -
Sillamae Silmet 0
Kose 4
Flora Tallinn U21 2
Keila JK 0
Legion II 3
Soccernet 1
Kalju 4
Tabasalu Ulasabat 0
TransferWise 0
Tulevik 3
Rumori Calcio II 0
Olympic Tallinn 3
Harju JK Laagri 12
Pelgu City 0
Tallinna FC Zapoos 6
Vandra Vaprus 0
Tartu JK Welco 0
Tallinna Kalev 4
Nomme Utd 4
Tallinn Piraaja 0
Eston Villa 3
Marjamaa Kompanii 0
1/16-finals
Tartu Kalev 2
Levadia 6
Legion 1
Tammeka Tartu 3
Flora 1
Parnu JK Vaprus 0
Elva 5
Tervis Parnu 2
Maksatransport 0
Laanemaa Haapsalu 3
JK Poseidon 2
Arukula Vigri 3
FC Tallinn 1
Viimsi JK 2
Narva 5
Zenit Tallinn 0
Tabasalu 1
Paide Linnameeskond 3
Helm 3
Tallinna Kalev U21 7
Kuressaare 9
Kose 1
Flora Tallinn U21 13
Legion II 0
Kalju 5
Tulevik 1
Olympic Tallinn 0
Harju JK Laagri 8
Tallinna FC Zapoos 1
Tallinna Kalev 4
Nomme Utd 11
Eston Villa 1
1/8-finals
Levadia 4
Tammeka Tartu 2
Flora 10
Elva 0
Laanemaa Haapsalu 9
Arukula Vigri 1
Viimsi JK 1
Narva 0
Paide Linnameeskond 4
Tallinna Kalev U21 0
Kuressaare 4
Flora Tallinn U21 2
Kalju 3
Harju JK Laagri 1
Tallinna Kalev 3
Nomme Utd 1
Quarter-finals
Levadia 2
Flora 1
Laanemaa Haapsalu 0
Viimsi JK 3
Paide Linnameeskond 2
Kuressaare 0
Kalju 2
Tallinna Kalev 1
Semi-finals
Levadia 1
Viimsi JK 0
Paide Linnameeskond 3
Kalju 1
Final
Levadia 4
Paide Linnameeskond 2