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Estonia U16 vs Finland U16

World World

Friendly International 2020
Wed, Jul 1, 2020
VS
10:00 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Estonia U16 host Finland U16 in the Friendly International 2020. Recent head-to-head results give a strong hint here. Estonia U16 have averaged 0.5 scored and 1.75 conceded recently, against Finland U16's 1.25 scored and 1.88 conceded. Head-to-head, Estonia U16 have won 0 to Finland U16's 5, with 0 draws. They last met on Sep 27, 2024, ending 0:3. Model xG sits at 1.19 vs 1.50, favoring Finland U16. Away (2) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Estonia U16
6%
Draws
90%
Finland U16
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Finland U16

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Finland U16 carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 90% — that's where the model lands on Finland U16 taking it.
  • Regular Friendly International 2020 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Finland U16 have won 5 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Estonia U16 Clean Sheet 16%
Finland U16 Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Estonia U16 Finland U16
Matches Played 13 25
Wins 2 13
Draws 1 1
Losses 10 11
Goals Scored 0.5 1.25
Goals Conceded 1.75 1.88
Expected Goals (xG) 0.50 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.75 1.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 27, 2024 Friendly International
Estonia U16 vs Finland U16
0:3
Sep 25, 2023 Friendly International
Estonia U16 vs Finland U16
3:4
Oct 7, 2022 Friendly International
Finland U16 vs Estonia U16
6:2
Aug 25, 2021 Friendly International
Finland U16 vs Estonia U16
3:0
Aug 25, 2021 Friendly International
Finland U16 vs Estonia U16
3:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Estonia U16 10 / 100
Finland U16 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Estonia U16 Finland U16

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FIN Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 4.80 goals when they meet.

Finland U16 has conceded goals in 76% of their last 25 outings.

Estonia U16 found the back of the net in 46% of recent matches (13 games).

Solid form: Estonia U16 remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Estonia U16 VS Finland U16
0.5 Goals Scored 1.25
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.88
63% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 38%