Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Estonia U21 vs France U21

Europe Europe

Euro U21 Parnu Rannastaadion, Parnu
Our Tip

Match Events

12'
Sub
Mbappe E. In: Bahoya J.
Out: Mbappe E.
17'
Gadou J.
24' Event
Ngoura S.
Assist: Bamba A.

AI Match Summary

France U21 in this Euro U21 matchup, with the score ending 0-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored France U21.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

9%
Estonia U21
30%
Draws
61%
France U21
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: France U21

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

61% / High Confidence
  • France U21 have won more games recently than Estonia U21.
  • France U21 are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • European nights carry their own weight — this Euro U21 fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors France U21 here — 4 wins from the last 4 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Estonia U21 Clean Sheet 10%
France U21 Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Estonia U21 France U21
Matches Played 29 35
Wins 4 24
Draws 8 7
Losses 17 4
Goals Scored 1.14 2.77
Goals Conceded 2.55 0.97
Expected Goals (xG) 0.94 2.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 29, 2026 Euro U21
Estonia U21 vs France U21
0:2
Oct 13, 2025 Euro U21
France U21 vs Estonia U21
6:1
Mar 25, 2015 Friendly International
France U21 vs Estonia U21
6:0
Mar 27, 2009 Friendly International
France U21 vs Estonia U21
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Estonia U21 Compare

Avg xG / game 0.72
Avg xA / game 0.47

France U21 Compare

Top Goalscorer Ngoura S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Bahoya J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.67
Avg xA / game 1.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Estonia U21 10 / 100
France U21 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Estonia U21 France U21

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick France U21 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 4.50 goals per match.

Attacking prowess: Estonia U21 scored in 69% of their last 29 outings.

Defensive concern: France U21 conceded in 63% of 35 recent games.

Estonia U21 has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Estonia U21 VS France U21
1.25 Goals Scored 3.13
2.75 Goals Conceded 0.63
100% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Estonia U21

(Home)
29 Sept
Estonia U21
0 : 2
France U21
25 Sept
Estonia U21
1 : 2
Faroe Islands U21
07 Jun
Estonia U21
2 : 2
Lithuania U21
05 Jun
Latvia U21
1 : 1
Estonia U21
31 Mar
Switzerland U21
2 : 1
Estonia U21
Page 1 of 6

France U21

(Away)
29 Sept
Estonia U21
0 : 2
France U21
25 Sept
Iceland U21
1 : 1
France U21
30 Mar
France U21
2 : 1
Iceland U21
26 Mar
Luxembourg U21
1 : 5
France U21
17 Nov
France U21
1 : 0
Faroe Islands U21
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Spain U21 9 8 0 1 40:4 24
2 Finland U21 9 7 1 1 30:3 22
3 Romania U21 9 5 1 3 11:6 16
4 Kosovo U21 9 4 2 3 17:7 14
5 Cyprus U21 9 1 0 8 6:29 3
6 San Marino U21 9 0 0 9 0:55 0
Promotion - Euro U21 (Main)
Promotion - Euro U21 (Promotion)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Portugal U21 9 7 1 1 33:2 22
2 Czech Republic U21 9 5 3 1 17:4 18
3 Scotland U21 9 4 2 3 23:12 14
4 Bulgaria U21 9 4 2 3 9:8 14
5 Azerbaijan U21 9 1 4 4 8:24 7
6 Gibraltar U21 9 0 0 9 1:41 0
Promotion - Euro U21 (Main)
Promotion - Euro U21 (Promotion)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 France U21 9 7 2 0 27:7 23
2 Switzerland U21 9 5 2 2 16:10 17
3 Iceland U21 9 4 3 2 20:11 15
4 Faroe Islands U21 9 4 0 5 8:15 12
5 Luxembourg U21 9 2 1 6 10:22 7
6 Estonia U21 9 0 2 7 9:25 2
Promotion - Euro U21 (Main)
Promotion - Euro U21 (Promotion)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 England U21 9 7 2 0 22:4 23
2 Ireland U21 9 5 2 2 13:13 17
3 Slovakia U21 9 5 2 2 15:12 17
4 Andorra U21 9 2 2 5 6:10 8
5 Moldova U21 9 1 3 5 9:17 6
6 Kazakhstan U21 9 1 1 7 9:18 4
Promotion - Euro U21 (Main)
Promotion - Euro U21 (Promotion)

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Italy U21 10 9 0 1 32:7 27
2 Poland U21 10 9 0 1 28:8 27
3 Sweden U21 10 4 1 5 12:22 13
4 Montenegro U21 10 3 3 4 13:16 12
5 North Macedonia U21 10 2 1 7 8:20 7
6 Armenia U21 10 0 1 9 5:25 1
Promotion - Euro U21 (Main)
Promotion - Euro U21 (Promotion)

League Standings (Group 6)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Germany U21 9 8 0 1 30:5 24
2 Greece U21 9 8 0 1 28:6 24
3 Northern Ireland U21 9 4 2 3 13:12 14
4 Georgia U21 9 2 4 3 13:13 10
5 Latvia U21 9 1 2 6 6:20 5
6 Malta U21 9 0 0 9 2:36 0
Promotion - Euro U21 (Main)
Promotion - Euro U21 (Promotion)

League Standings (Group 7)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Norway U21 7 5 1 1 18:5 16
2 Israel U21 7 2 4 1 9:9 10
3 Netherlands U21 7 2 3 2 11:10 9
4 Bosnia & Herzegovina U21 7 1 4 2 3:7 7
5 Slovenia U21 8 1 2 5 7:17 5
Promotion - Euro U21 (Main)
Promotion - Euro U21 (Promotion)

League Standings (Group 8)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Croatia U21 7 5 1 1 14:3 16
2 Turkey U21 7 3 3 1 9:8 12
3 Ukraine U21 8 3 3 2 13:9 12
4 Hungary U21 7 1 3 3 9:13 6
5 Lithuania U21 7 0 2 5 4:16 2
Promotion - Euro U21 (Main)
Promotion - Euro U21 (Promotion)

League Standings (Group 9)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Belgium U21 7 5 1 1 13:2 16
2 Denmark U21 7 4 2 1 15:6 14
3 Austria U21 7 3 2 2 8:8 11
4 Wales U21 7 2 0 5 6:21 6
5 Belarus U21 8 1 1 6 7:12 4
Promotion - Euro U21 (Main)
Promotion - Euro U21 (Promotion)