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Estonia U21 vs Latvia U21

Europe Europe

Baltic Cup U21 2024
Sun, Jun 9, 2024
3 - 4
02:00 PM
Our Tip

Match Events

1' Event
Anmanis Kaspars
4' Event
Patika G.
6'
Vaher A.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 3-4, with Latvia U21 advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

16%
Estonia U21
35%
Draws
49%
Latvia U21
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Latvia U21

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

49% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Latvia U21 come out ahead of Estonia U21 on wins alone.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • Latvia U21 arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Latvia U21, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.2%
Estonia U21 Clean Sheet 13%
Latvia U21 Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Estonia U21 Latvia U21
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 4 10
Draws 8 7
Losses 16 12
Goals Scored 1.14 1.1
Goals Conceded 2.68 1.45
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 5, 2026 Baltic Cup U21
Latvia U21 vs Estonia U21
1:1
Jun 9, 2024 Baltic Cup U21
Estonia U21 vs Latvia U21
3:4
Nov 18, 2022 Baltic Cup U21
Latvia U21 vs Estonia U21
1:0
Sep 8, 2020 Euro U21
Latvia U21 vs Estonia U21
1:1
Oct 11, 2019 Euro U21
Estonia U21 vs Latvia U21
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Estonia U21 Compare

Top Goalscorer Sapovalov A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Teevali T.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Latvia U21 Compare

Top Goalscorer Anmanis Kaspars
1 Goals
Assists Leader Patika G.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 0.94

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Estonia U21 31 / 100
Latvia U21 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Estonia U21 Latvia U21

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Latvia U21 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Estonia U21's goal record stands at 68% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Latvia U21 let in goals in 76% of their last 29 matches.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Estonia U21 stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Estonia U21 VS Latvia U21
1.13 Goals Scored 0.63
2.75 Goals Conceded 1.63
100% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 25%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Estonia U21

(Home)
07 Jun
Estonia U21
2 : 2
Lithuania U21
05 Jun
Latvia U21
1 : 1
Estonia U21
31 Mar
Switzerland U21
2 : 1
Estonia U21
26 Mar
Iceland U21
6 : 2
Estonia U21
13 Oct
France U21
6 : 1
Estonia U21
Page 1 of 6

Latvia U21

(Away)
09 Jun
Lithuania U21
2 : 2
Latvia U21
05 Jun
Latvia U21
1 : 1
Estonia U21
31 Mar
Latvia U21
1 : 3
Northern Ireland U21
27 Mar
Georgia U21
1 : 1
Latvia U21
18 Nov
Malta U21
0 : 1
Latvia U21
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Semi-finals
Estonia U21 1
Finland U21 0
Latvia U21 2
Lithuania U21 1
Final
Estonia U21 3
Latvia U21 4
Finland U21 2
Lithuania U21 0