Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Estonia vs Andorra

World World

Friendly International 2025 A. Le Coq Arena
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Estonia play Andorra in the Friendly International 2025. Estonia are favorites here. Recently, Estonia averaged 0.97 goals scored and 1.9 conceded. Andorra averaged 0.27 goals scored and 1.77 conceded. In past meetings, Estonia won 4, Andorra won 0, and they drew 1. Their last match on Sep 9, 2025 ended 0:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.44 for Estonia and 1.31 for Andorra. This points to a Estonia double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

66%
Estonia
16%
Draws
18%
Andorra
Draw rate projection: 16% Favored: Estonia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

92% / Very High Confidence
  • Estonia picked up more points recently compared to Andorra.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.44 vs 1.31 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 68%
Over 2.5 Goals 42%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 13%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28%
Estonia Clean Sheet 18%
Andorra Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 61%
Second Half Goal 65%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Estonia Andorra
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 8 2
Draws 4 5
Losses 18 23
Goals Scored 0.97 0.27
Goals Conceded 1.9 1.77
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 0.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.25 1.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 9, 2025 Friendly International
Estonia vs Andorra
0:0
Jun 1, 2016 Friendly International
Estonia vs Andorra
2:0
Mar 26, 2013 World Championship
Estonia vs Andorra
2:0
Oct 16, 2012 World Championship
Andorra vs Estonia
0:1
Nov 17, 2007 Euro
Andorra vs Estonia
0:2

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Estonia 63 / 100
Andorra 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Estonia Andorra

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Estonia Win (1)
Secondary Pick Estonia & Under 3.5
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +13.5%
1.72
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +16.8%
2.78
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Estonia attacking → ← attacking Andorra

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Estonia scored in 57% of their last 30 games.

Andorra let in goals in 83% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 1.40 goals.

Estonia went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Andorra lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

28 Points in last 5 11
1.13 Goals expected (xG) 0.38
2.25 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.75