Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Estonia vs Iceland - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Europe Europe

UEFA Nations League A. Le Coq Arena, Tallinn
Estonia Logo

Estonia

0 - 0
FT
Iceland Logo

Iceland

Our Tip

Match Events

25'
Gretarsson D. L.
61'
Sub
Saliste J. In: Schjonning-Larsen M.
Out: Saliste J.
61'
Sub
Mannilaan M. In: Mustmaa K.
Out: Mannilaan M.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The UEFA Nations League game between Estonia and Iceland finished 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
Estonia
35%
Draws
31%
Iceland
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

34% / Low Confidence
  • Estonia haven't matched Iceland's recent run of results.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • European nights carry their own weight — this UEFA Nations League fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.400000000000006%
Estonia Clean Sheet 68%
Iceland Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Estonia Iceland
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 9 10
Draws 6 6
Losses 15 14
Goals Scored 1 1.53
Goals Conceded 1.7 1.67
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 6, 2026 UEFA Nations League
Estonia vs Iceland
0:0
Sep 26, 2026 UEFA Nations League
Iceland vs Estonia
1:1
Jan 8, 2023 Friendly International
Iceland vs Estonia
1:1
Jan 15, 2019 Friendly International
Estonia vs Iceland
0:0
Mar 31, 2015 Friendly International
Estonia vs Iceland
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Estonia 41 / 100
Iceland 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Estonia Iceland

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Estonia Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Estonia has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Estonia found the back of the net in 60% of recent matches (30 games).

Iceland's defensive record shows goals conceded in 70% of 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 1.20 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Estonia VS Iceland
1.38 Goals Scored 0.75
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.75
75% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Estonia

(Home)
06 Oct
Estonia
0 : 0
Iceland
03 Oct
Estonia
1 : 0
Luxembourg
29 Sept
Bulgaria
0 : 0
Estonia
26 Sept
Iceland
1 : 1
Estonia
09 Jun
Estonia
1 : 0
Lithuania
Page 1 of 6

Iceland

(Away)
06 Oct
Estonia
0 : 0
Iceland
03 Oct
Iceland
3 : 0
Bulgaria
29 Sept
Luxembourg
0 : 3
Iceland
26 Sept
Iceland
1 : 1
Estonia
10 Jun
Argentina
3 : 0
Iceland
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Albania 4 3 0 1 8:3 9
2 Belarus 4 2 1 1 5:2 7
3 Finland 4 2 1 1 9:2 7
4 San Marino 4 0 0 4 1:16 0
Promotion - UEFA Nations League 2028/2029 (League B)
Promotion - UEFA Nations League (Relegation - League B/C)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Montenegro 4 3 1 0 7:4 10
2 Cyprus 4 2 1 1 5:3 7
3 Armenia 4 1 1 2 4:5 4
4 Latvia 4 0 1 3 2:6 1
Promotion - UEFA Nations League 2028/2029 (League B)
Promotion - UEFA Nations League (Relegation - League B/C)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Slovakia 4 3 1 0 9:2 10
2 Faroe Islands 4 0 4 0 5:5 4
3 Moldova 4 1 1 2 3:8 4
4 Kazakhstan 4 0 2 2 5:7 2
Promotion - UEFA Nations League 2028/2029 (League B)
Promotion - UEFA Nations League (Relegation - League B/C)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Iceland 4 2 2 0 7:1 8
2 Estonia 4 1 3 0 2:1 6
3 Bulgaria 4 1 1 2 3:5 4
4 Luxembourg 4 1 0 3 2:7 3
Promotion - UEFA Nations League 2028/2029 (League B)
Promotion - UEFA Nations League (Relegation - League B/C)