Sport Picks

World

World Championship 2026 A. Le Coq Arena, Tallinn

Estonia

1 - 3

Israel

Our Tip

Match Events

31'

Kait M.

Assist: Schjonning-Larsen M.

39'

Biton D.

Assist: Turgeman D.

49'

Biton D.

Assist: Solomon M.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The World Championship 2026 game between Estonia and Israel finished 1-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Israel.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

48%

Estonia

20%

Draws

32%

Israel

Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Estonia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence

Look at the last few games and Israel come out ahead of Estonia on wins alone.
Win probability leans Estonia's way, sitting at 36%.
European nights carry their own weight — this World Championship 2026 fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Israel have won 5 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 70%

Over 4.5 Goals 32%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%

Estonia Clean Sheet 11%

Israel Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Estonia	Israel
Matches Played	29	28
Wins	8	11
Draws	4	5
Losses	17	12
Goals Scored	1	1.46
Goals Conceded	1.9	1.71
Expected Goals (xG)	1.56	1.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.10	1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 6, 2025 World Championship

Estonia vs Israel

1:3

Mar 22, 2025 World Championship

Israel vs Estonia

2:1

Mar 28, 2007 Euro

Israel vs Estonia

4:0

Sep 2, 2006 Euro

Estonia vs Israel

0:1

Jan 18, 1999 Friendly International

Israel vs Estonia

7:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Estonia Compare

Top Goalscorer Kait M.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 1.2

Avg xA / game 0.78

Israel Compare

Top Goalscorer Biton D.

2 Goals

Avg xG / game 1.65

Avg xA / game 1.01

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Estonia 35 / 100

Israel 33 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Estonia Israel

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes

Correct Score 2:2

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.80 goals when they meet.

Israel has conceded goals in 68% of their last 28 outings.

Solid form: Estonia remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Attacking prowess: Estonia scored in 59% of their last 29 outings.

Scoring Trends

Estonia VS Israel

1.13 Goals Scored 1.38

2.25 Goals Conceded 2

88% Over 1.5 63%

63% Over 2.5 63%

50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Estonia

(Home)

09 Jun

Estonia

1 : 0

Lithuania

06 Jun

Estonia

1 : 0

Faroe Islands

30 Mar

Rwanda

2 : 0

Estonia

27 Mar

Kenya

1 : 2

Estonia

18 Nov

Cyprus

2 : 4

Estonia

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Israel

(Away)

03 Jun

Albania

0 : 1

Israel

26 Mar

Georgia

2 : 2

Israel

16 Nov

Israel

4 : 1

Moldova

13 Nov

Lithuania

0 : 0

Israel

14 Oct

Italy

3 : 0

Israel

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