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Estonia W vs Lithuania W

World World

Friendly International Women 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

14' Event
Jonusaite R.
46'
Sub
Teern K. In: Jotkina A.
Out: Teern K.
46'
Sub
Rosen K. In: Tullus K.
Out: Rosen K.

AI Match Summary

The Friendly International Women 2025 game between Estonia W and Lithuania W finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Lithuania W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Estonia W
30%
Draws
31%
Lithuania W
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Estonia W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

31% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Lithuania W come out ahead of Estonia W on wins alone.
  • 31% — that's where the model lands on Lithuania W taking it.
  • Regular Friendly International Women 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67%
Estonia W Clean Sheet 18%
Lithuania W Clean Sheet 18%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Estonia W Lithuania W
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 9 11
Draws 7 5
Losses 14 14
Goals Scored 1.07 1.17
Goals Conceded 1.73 1.33
Expected Goals (xG) 0.81 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 18, 2026 World Cup Women
Estonia W vs Lithuania W
2:1
Mar 7, 2026 World Cup Women
Lithuania W vs Estonia W
0:0
Nov 29, 2025 Friendly International Women
Estonia W vs Lithuania W
0:2
Oct 24, 2024 Friendly International Women
Estonia W vs Lithuania W
3:2
Oct 6, 2022 Friendly International Women
Estonia W vs Lithuania W
4:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Estonia W Compare

Avg xG / game 0.62
Avg xA / game 0.41

Lithuania W Compare

Top Goalscorer Jonusaite R.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Lazdauskaite U.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Estonia W 28 / 100
Lithuania W 40 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Estonia W Lithuania W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Lithuania W Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Estonia W scored in 63% of their last 30 outings.

Lithuania W let in goals in 63% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Recent resilience: Estonia W stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Estonia W VS Lithuania W
0.75 Goals Scored 1.5
1.13 Goals Conceded 0.88
50% Over 1.5 63%
25% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Estonia W

(Home)
09 Jun
Estonia W
1 : 1
Bosnia & Herzegovina W
05 Jun
Liechtenstein W
0 : 5
Estonia W
18 Apr
Estonia W
2 : 1
Lithuania W
14 Apr
Estonia W
2 : 1
Liechtenstein W
10 Apr
Czech Republic U23 W
4 : 0
Estonia W
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Lithuania W

(Away)
09 Jun
Lithuania W
2 : 0
Liechtenstein W
05 Jun
Bosnia & Herzegovina W
0 : 0
Lithuania W
18 Apr
Estonia W
2 : 1
Lithuania W
14 Apr
Lithuania W
2 : 0
Bosnia & Herzegovina W
07 Mar
Lithuania W
0 : 0
Estonia W
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